Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets · C-F

Age 31 · 6'10" · 284 lb · Serbia

Pick #41, 2014 Draft · Rookie 2016 · 816 games · 100 playoff games

DPM · #1 of 523

+7.1

Offense +5.0 Defense +2.1 Market +8.0 · playoffs +7.9 Last played Nov 2, 2026

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Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
LeBron James 2016-17	32	+8.4	+7.3, +6.5, +7.1, +6.6, +5.6	74
Chris Paul 2016-17	31	+8.2	+7.3, +6.1, +6.5, +5.3, +5.3	71
Kevin Garnett 2007-08	32	+7.4	+6.5, +5.3, +6.0, +5.9, +3.8	66
James Harden 2020-21	31	+5.5	+3.8, +3.9, +3.3, +4.5, +3.2	66
Jason Kidd 2003-04	31	+5.7	+5.5, +5.0, +5.0, +3.2, +2.9	66
Dwyane Wade 2012-13	31	+5.4	+3.5, +3.0, +1.5, -0.1, -1.2	65
Dirk Nowitzki 2009-10	31	+6.0	+6.4, +6.0, +4.4, +4.9, +2.6	65
Paul George 2020-21	31	+5.3	+4.7, +4.6, +4.5, +2.3, +1.9	64
Shaquille O'Neal 2002-03	31	+6.4	+5.9, +5.4, +4.7, +3.6, +1.7	64
Stephen Curry 2018-19	31	+5.8	under 10 games, +4.2, +5.1, +4.8, +3.7	63

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Nikola's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Nikola Jokic's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Nikola Jokic DEN Self

+7.1DPMDPM Offense +5.0 Defense +2.1 Per 100 possessions:32.5points15.8rebounds13.6assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC ↗

+6.2DPMDPM Offense +5.7 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:42.9points5.7rebounds9.3assistsP/R/A
63.4
3 Luka Doncic LAL ↗

+5.8DPMDPM Offense +5.5 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:42.6points10.2rebounds10.7assistsP/R/A
62.6
4 Kawhi Leonard TOR ↗

+5.7DPMDPM Offense +4.8 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:36.2points9.6rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A
59.9
5 Jayson Tatum BOS ↗

+5.0DPMDPM Offense +4.9 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:36.9points11.3rebounds9.8assistsP/R/A
58.6
6 Victor Wembanyama SAS ↗

+6.7DPMDPM Offense +4.3 Defense +2.4 Per 100 possessions:41.1points16.6rebounds5.4assistsP/R/A
54.7
7 Cade Cunningham DET ↗

+4.4DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:36.8points7.6rebounds12.5assistsP/R/A
50.0
8 Anthony Edwards MIN ↗

+5.2DPMDPM Offense +5.3 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:39.4points6.9rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A
48.4
9 Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA ↗

+3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.9 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:42.2points16.5rebounds9.3assistsP/R/A
46.9
10 Joel Embiid PHI ↗

+3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.3 Defense +1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.4points11.7rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A
46.1

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Nikola Jokic's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $95.8M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $59.0M; Actual
Surplus: +$36.7M; Value minus salary
WARP: 20.4; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 8.1; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 40.2; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Nikola Jokic, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	DEN	31	6	36.9	+7.08	+5.04	+2.05	—
2025-26	DEN	31	65 +6	34.8	+7.09	+5.16	+1.92	4th of 616
2024-25	DEN	30	70 +14	36.7	+7.00	+5.24	+1.76	8th of 697
2023-24	DEN	29	79 +12	34.6	+7.30	+4.90	+2.40	5th of 774
2022-23	DEN	28	69 +20	33.7	+6.77	+4.74	+2.04	10th of 858
2021-22	DEN	27	74 +5	33.5	+5.76	+4.22	+1.55	14th of 924
2020-21	DEN	26	72 +10	34.5	+4.56	+3.70	+0.86	21st of 1010
2019-20	DEN	25	73 +19	32.0	+4.73	+3.47	+1.26	17th of 1077
2018-19	DEN	24	80 +14	31.3	+5.22	+3.75	+1.47	10th of 1185
2017-18	DEN	23	75	32.6	+5.18	+3.61	+1.57	4th of 1100
2016-17	DEN	22	73	27.9	+4.75	+3.58	+1.17	3rd of 813
2015-16	DEN	21	80	21.7	+3.11	+0.63	+2.48	7th of 571

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 34.6 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.5.

Nikola Jokic, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	32.5	22.9
Rebounds	15.8	11.2
Offensive	3.4	2.4
Defensive	12.5	8.8
Assists	13.6	9.6
Steals	2.1	1.5
Blocks	1.1	0.8
Turnovers	5.3	3.7
3-pt attempts	5.8	4.1
FG attempts	22.8	16.1
FT attempts	8.2	5.8
FG% · 3P% · FT%	53.8% · 35.8% · 82.5%