Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.85
- +2.38 before the first game, +1.54 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.33
- Apr 9 vs GSW · 32 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.42
- Dec 10 vs SAS · 36 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.14 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.5 at age 41 in 2025-26 ranks 2nd of 6 age-41 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Manu Ginobili, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili 2017-18 | 40 | +0.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 68 |
| Karl Malone 2003-04 | 40 | +0.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 65 |
| John Stockton 2002-03 | 41 | +4.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 47 |
| Dirk Nowitzki 2018-19 | 40 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 44 |
| Vince Carter 2017-18 | 41 | -1.8 | -2.5, -3.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 35 |
| John Long 1996-97 | 40 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 27 |
| Dikembe Mutombo 2007-08 | 41 | -0.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 24 |
| Charles Jones 1997-98 | 41 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 19 |
| Jason Terry 2017-18 | 40 | -2.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 18 |
| Kevin Willis 2002-03 | 40 | -4.6 | -5.0, -4.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 0 |
The 10 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to LeBron's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of LeBron James's seasons, at the same age.
- Cooper Flagg DAL like his 2003-04 83
- Kawhi Leonard LAC like his 2018-19 77
- Nikola Jokic DEN like his 2014-15 77
- Victor Wembanyama SAS like his 2006-07 68
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against LeBron James's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $37.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $52.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$15.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 43.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | LAL | 41 | 60 +10 | 33.1 | +1.54 | +1.67 | -0.13 | 2nd of 6 |
| 2024-25 | LAL | 40 | 70 +5 | 34.9 | +2.62 | +3.23 | -0.62 | 3rd of 18 |
| 2023-24 | LAL | 39 | 72 +5 | 35.3 | +4.50 | +3.75 | +0.75 | 2nd of 47 |
| 2022-23 | LAL | 38 | 55 +16 | 35.5 | +4.14 | +3.36 | +0.77 | 4th of 78 |
| 2021-22 | LAL | 37 | 56 | 37.2 | +5.62 | +4.99 | +0.63 | 2nd of 118 |
| 2020-21 | LAL | 36 | 45 +6 | 33.4 | +6.48 | +5.03 | +1.45 | 1st of 189 |
| 2019-20 | LAL | 35 | 67 +21 | 34.6 | +6.46 | +5.02 | +1.43 | 1st of 243 |
| 2018-19 | LAL | 34 | 55 | 35.2 | +5.90 | +5.23 | +0.67 | 4th of 336 |
| 2017-18 | CLE | 33 | 82 +22 | 36.9 | +7.04 | +6.23 | +0.81 | 1st of 406 |
| 2016-17 | CLE | 32 | 74 +18 | 37.8 | +8.25 | +6.66 | +1.59 | 1st of 530 |
| 2015-16 | CLE | 31 | 76 +21 | 35.6 | +8.64 | +6.94 | +1.70 | 2nd of 616 |
| 2014-15 | CLE | 30 | 69 +20 | 36.1 | +7.87 | +6.68 | +1.19 | 5th of 697 |
| 2013-14 | MIA | 29 | 77 +20 | 37.7 | +8.11 | +7.12 | +0.99 | 2nd of 774 |
| 2012-13 | MIA | 28 | 76 +23 | 37.8 | +8.63 | +7.07 | +1.57 | 3rd of 858 |
| 2011-12 | MIA | 27 | 62 +23 | 37.5 | +8.39 | +6.85 | +1.54 | 2nd of 924 |
| 2010-11 | MIA | 26 | 79 +21 | 38.8 | +7.89 | +6.32 | +1.57 | 3rd of 1010 |
| 2009-10 | CLE | 25 | 76 +11 | 39.0 | +9.02 | +7.50 | +1.52 | 1st of 1078 |
| 2008-09 | CLE | 24 | 81 +14 | 37.7 | +9.07 | +7.44 | +1.62 | 1st of 1185 |
| 2007-08 | CLE | 23 | 75 +13 | 40.4 | +6.74 | +5.54 | +1.20 | 1st of 1100 |
| 2006-07 | CLE | 22 | 78 +20 | 40.9 | +5.83 | +4.57 | +1.26 | 2nd of 813 |
| 2005-06 | CLE | 21 | 79 +13 | 42.5 | +5.39 | +5.14 | +0.26 | 1st of 571 |
| 2004-05 | CLE | 20 | 80 | 42.3 | +3.95 | +3.84 | +0.10 | 2nd of 354 |
| 2003-04 | CLE | 19 | 79 | 39.6 | +0.66 | +1.30 | -0.64 | 6th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 26.5 projected minutes and a pace of 93.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.3 | 14.6 |
| Rebounds | 10.1 | 5.2 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 8.9 | 4.6 |
| Assists | 9.3 | 4.8 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.8 | 3.5 |
| FG attempts | 23.0 | 11.9 |
| FT attempts | 8.0 | 4.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.8% · 31.7% · 72.5% | |
