Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stockton 2002-03 | 41 | +4.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 47 |
| Vince Carter 2017-18 | 41 | -2.1 | -2.5, -3.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 34 |
| Dikembe Mutombo 2007-08 | 41 | 0.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 29 |
| Charles Jones 1997-98 | 41 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 24 |
| Kevin Willis 2003-04 | 41 | -4.7 | -4.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 0 |
The 5 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to LeBron's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to LeBron James's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +2.0DPMDPM Offense +2.0 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:26.6points9.6rebounds10.7assistsP/R/A100.0
- +1.9DPMDPM Offense +1.4 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:27.6points8.5rebounds7.7assistsP/R/A78.7
- +3.0DPMDPM Offense +3.4 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:28.1points6.6rebounds9.1assistsP/R/A75.1
- +1.0DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:22.4points7.1rebounds8.7assistsP/R/A72.8
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +2.1 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:30.3points6.1rebounds6.2assistsP/R/A71.0
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:27.3points7.6rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A70.3
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.4 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:29.3points5.6rebounds6.0assistsP/R/A69.9
- +3.5DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:33.4points7.1rebounds6.4assistsP/R/A69.3
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:32.1points5.6rebounds8.0assistsP/R/A68.4
- +2.8DPMDPM Offense +4.2 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:35.5points5.7rebounds7.1assistsP/R/A65.9
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against LeBron James's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $35.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$31.6M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 8.6
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 1.5
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 43.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | PHI | 41 | 1 | 33.8 | +1.77 | +1.99 | -0.23 | — |
| 2025-26 | LAL | 41 | 60 +10 | 33.1 | +2.26 | +2.34 | -0.08 | 2nd of 6 |
| 2024-25 | LAL | 40 | 70 +5 | 34.9 | +2.87 | +3.13 | -0.26 | 3rd of 18 |
| 2023-24 | LAL | 39 | 71 +5 | 35.3 | +4.49 | +3.70 | +0.79 | 2nd of 47 |
| 2022-23 | LAL | 38 | 55 +16 | 35.5 | +4.26 | +3.50 | +0.76 | 4th of 78 |
| 2021-22 | LAL | 37 | 56 | 37.2 | +5.56 | +4.96 | +0.60 | 2nd of 118 |
| 2020-21 | LAL | 36 | 45 +6 | 33.4 | +6.64 | +5.35 | +1.30 | 2nd of 189 |
| 2019-20 | LAL | 35 | 67 +21 | 34.6 | +7.17 | +5.68 | +1.48 | 1st of 243 |
| 2018-19 | LAL | 34 | 55 | 35.2 | +6.53 | +5.77 | +0.76 | 2nd of 337 |
| 2017-18 | CLE | 33 | 82 +22 | 36.9 | +7.33 | +6.52 | +0.81 | 2nd of 405 |
| 2016-17 | CLE | 32 | 74 +18 | 37.8 | +8.38 | +6.78 | +1.59 | 2nd of 530 |
| 2015-16 | CLE | 31 | 76 +21 | 35.6 | +8.45 | +6.69 | +1.76 | 2nd of 616 |
| 2014-15 | CLE | 30 | 69 +20 | 36.1 | +7.77 | +6.68 | +1.09 | 4th of 697 |
| 2013-14 | MIA | 29 | 77 +20 | 37.7 | +8.35 | +7.08 | +1.27 | 3rd of 774 |
| 2012-13 | MIA | 28 | 76 +23 | 37.9 | +8.97 | +7.37 | +1.60 | 3rd of 858 |
| 2011-12 | MIA | 27 | 62 +23 | 37.5 | +8.67 | +7.07 | +1.60 | 2nd of 924 |
| 2010-11 | MIA | 26 | 79 +21 | 38.8 | +8.13 | +6.49 | +1.64 | 3rd of 1010 |
| 2009-10 | CLE | 25 | 76 +11 | 39.0 | +9.23 | +7.70 | +1.53 | 1st of 1077 |
| 2008-09 | CLE | 24 | 81 +14 | 37.7 | +8.98 | +7.40 | +1.58 | 1st of 1185 |
| 2007-08 | CLE | 23 | 75 +13 | 40.4 | +7.41 | +6.10 | +1.31 | 1st of 1100 |
| 2006-07 | CLE | 22 | 78 +20 | 40.9 | +6.11 | +4.94 | +1.17 | 2nd of 813 |
| 2005-06 | CLE | 21 | 79 +13 | 42.5 | +5.49 | +5.16 | +0.33 | 2nd of 571 |
| 2004-05 | CLE | 20 | 80 | 42.3 | +3.99 | +4.17 | -0.18 | 2nd of 354 |
| 2003-04 | CLE | 19 | 79 | 39.6 | -0.53 | +0.74 | -1.27 | 21st of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 32.1 projected minutes and a pace of 100.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 26.6 | 17.9 |
| Rebounds | 9.6 | 6.4 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 8.4 | 5.6 |
| Assists | 10.7 | 7.2 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| FG attempts | 19.1 | 12.8 |
| FT attempts | 7.0 | 4.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 50.9% · 33.4% · 74.3% | |









