James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers · G

Age 37 · 6'5" · 220 lb · USA

Pick #3, 2009 Draft · Rookie 2010 · 1,228 games · 191 playoff games

DPM · #38 of 523

+2.2
Offense +2.8 Defense -0.6 Market +2.5 · playoffs +1.7 Last played Nov 2, 2026

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Vince Carter 2013-1437+1.6 -1.1, -1.8, -0.6, -1.9, -2.5 75
Manu Ginobili 2014-1537+2.7 +2.4, +1.1, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games 75
Jeff Hornacek 1999-0037+1.2 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 74
Terry Porter 1999-0037+2.0 +1.6, +1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 74
Dirk Nowitzki 2014-1536+2.6 +2.7, +0.7, 0.0, -1.2, under 10 games 73
Paul Pierce 2013-1436+1.2 +0.8, -1.7, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games 72
Chris Mullin 1999-0036+1.6 +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 72
Sam Cassell 2005-0636+0.5 -0.3, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 70
Charles Barkley 1999-0037+1.3 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 68
Reggie Miller 2002-0337+1.0 +1.1, +1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 68

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to James's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to James Harden's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

  1. 1 James Harden CLE Self
    +2.2DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:26.8points6.8rebounds9.2assistsP/R/A
    100.0
  2. +2.5DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:33.5points6.1rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A
    83.7
  3. +1.5DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:22.3points7.2rebounds8.8assistsP/R/A
    81.7
  4. +2.0DPMDPM Offense +1.8 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:26.3points9.8rebounds11.0assistsP/R/A
    78.0
  5. +1.8DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:27.2points8.6rebounds7.8assistsP/R/A
    76.6
  6. +2.8DPMDPM Offense +4.3 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:39.6points6.0rebounds7.8assistsP/R/A
    74.6
  7. +2.4DPMDPM Offense +3.0 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points8.9rebounds6.3assistsP/R/A
    73.6
  8. +1.7DPMDPM Offense +0.8 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:27.8points8.0rebounds7.1assistsP/R/A
    73.6
  9. +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:32.1points9.5rebounds5.8assistsP/R/A
    73.2
  10. +3.7DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:32.8points7.2rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A
    72.8
How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against James Harden's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$44.7M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$30.6M
Actual
Surplus
+$14.0M
Value minus salary
WARP
9.1
Wins above replacement
Seasons left
3.2
Projected, within 15
Retires at
40.9
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

James Harden, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2026-27 so farCLE37733.5+2.22+2.81-0.59—
2025-26CLE3670 +1834.8+3.16+3.69-0.5314th of 189
2024-25LAC3579 +735.3+4.54+3.92+0.6211th of 243
2023-24LAC3472 +634.3+3.30+3.32-0.0226th of 337
2022-23PHI3358 +1136.8+3.90+4.09-0.1816th of 405
2021-22PHI3265 +1237.2+3.76+3.87-0.1228th of 530
2020-21BKN3144 +936.6+5.45+5.37+0.0811th of 616
2019-20HOU3168 +1236.5+5.67+6.05-0.389th of 616
2018-19HOU2978 +1136.8+5.61+6.13-0.5214th of 774
2017-18HOU2872 +1735.4+5.81+6.73-0.9115th of 858
2016-17HOU2781 +1136.4+5.51+6.52-1.0016th of 924
2015-16HOU2682 +538.1+5.35+6.22-0.8713th of 1010
2014-15HOU2581 +1736.8+6.05+6.44-0.408th of 1077
2013-14HOU2473 +638.0+4.92+5.99-1.0712th of 1185
2012-13HOU2378 +638.3+4.91+5.97-1.065th of 1100
2011-12OKC2262 +2031.4+2.93+3.52-0.5917th of 813
2010-11OKC2182 +1726.7+2.78+2.01+0.778th of 571
2009-10OKC2076 +622.9+1.85+0.75+1.106th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

Loading percentile context...

Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 33.6 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.9.

James Harden, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points26.818.6
Rebounds6.84.7
Offensive0.90.6
Defensive5.94.1
Assists9.26.4
Steals1.71.2
Blocks0.70.5
Turnovers4.73.2
3-pt attempts10.77.4
FG attempts19.513.5
FT attempts8.25.7
FG% · 3P% · FT%42.4% · 36.2% · 86.0%