Joel Embiid Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: +0.43; +3.13 before the first game, +3.56 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.34; Jan 12 vs TOR · 36 min
Biggest drop: -0.20; Apr 26 vs BOS · 34 min
Typical change per game: 0.10; Last 20 games, vs 0.12 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+3.6 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 26th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Paul Pierce, 2009-10.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Paul Pierce 2009-10	32	+3.5	+4.2, +3.5, +3.2, +1.3, +0.9	79
Jimmy Butler 2020-21	31	+3.7	+4.1, +3.6, +3.5, +2.5, +2.3	78
LaMarcus Aldridge 2017-18	32	+3.7	+3.0, +0.8, -0.9, -1.2, under 10 games	77
Lamar Odom 2010-11	31	+3.7	-1.9, +0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	73
Paul Millsap 2016-17	32	+2.9	+1.7, +2.3, +1.3, +2.0, -2.1	73
Scottie Pippen 1997-98	32	+3.5	+1.4, +1.8, +1.8, +0.5, +1.7	72
Dwyane Wade 2013-14	32	+3.2	+2.2, +1.4, -0.1, -1.0, -2.0	72
Mike Conley 2018-19	31	+4.1	+0.8, +3.4, +2.4, +0.9, +0.7	72
Russell Westbrook 2019-20	31	+2.4	+2.2, -0.4, +0.6, -0.5, -1.5	71
Manu Ginobili 2009-10	32	+4.8	+5.2, +4.9, +3.0, +4.3, +2.5	71

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Joel's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Joel Embiid's seasons, at the same age.

Chet Holmgren OKC like his 2017-18 74

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Joel Embiid's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $53.4M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $55.2M; Actual
Surplus: -$1.8M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 3.4; Projected
Retires at: 35.8; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Joel Embiid, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	PHI	32	38 +7	31.6	+3.56	+2.52	+1.04	26th of 530
2024-25	PHI	31	19	30.2	+3.46	+1.35	+2.11	—
2023-24	PHI	30	39 +6	33.6	+6.17	+4.01	+2.15	12th of 697
2022-23	PHI	29	66 +9	34.6	+6.34	+3.75	+2.59	10th of 774
2021-22	PHI	28	68 +10	33.8	+6.33	+3.91	+2.42	13th of 858
2020-21	PHI	27	51 +11	31.1	+5.97	+3.34	+2.63	12th of 924
2019-20	PHI	26	51 +4	29.5	+3.56	+1.02	+2.54	40th of 1010
2018-19	PHI	25	64 +11	33.7	+5.09	+2.27	+2.82	12th of 1078
2017-18	PHI	24	63 +8	30.3	+2.99	+1.01	+1.98	43rd of 1185
2016-17	PHI	23	31	25.4	+2.58	+0.53	+2.05	35th of 1100
2015-16	PHI	22	0	—	-0.50	-0.57	+0.08	—
2014-15	PHI	21	0	—	-0.88	-0.79	-0.09	—

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.7 projected minutes and a pace of 94.5.

Joel Embiid, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	33.2	16.1
Rebounds	12.1	5.9
Offensive	2.6	1.3
Defensive	9.5	4.6
Assists	6.0	2.9
Steals	1.1	0.5
Blocks	1.9	0.9
Turnovers	4.6	2.3
3-pt attempts	6.1	3.0
FG attempts	25.2	12.2
FT attempts	13.5	6.6
FG% · 3P% · FT%	46.6% · 32.8% · 82.1%