Jayson Tatum Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -1.38; +5.66 before the first game, +4.28 at the end
Biggest boost: +0.45; Apr 26 vs PHI · 35 min
Biggest drop: -0.74; Mar 20 vs MEM · 31 min
Typical change per game: 0.19; Last 11 games, vs 0.17 in the first 11. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Paul Pierce 2005-06	28	+4.5	+4.1, +5.4, +4.1, +3.5, +4.2	82
Blake Griffin 2016-17	28	+4.6	+2.5, +2.8, +1.1, +0.4, -1.5	81
Tracy McGrady 2006-07	27	+4.7	+3.3, +1.4, -0.5, -0.3, -0.1	79
Vince Carter 2004-05	28	+4.2	+3.7, +3.4, +3.0, +2.1, +3.1	79
Grant Hill 1999-00	27	+3.8	under 10 games, +1.5, +1.6, under 10 games, +1.6	77
Damian Lillard 2018-19	28	+4.4	+4.3, +4.0, +4.3, +4.5, +2.6	76
Manu Ginobili 2005-06	28	+5.0	+5.5, +5.0, +5.0, +4.8, +5.2	75
Kevin Durant 2016-17	28	+5.8	+5.0, +4.5, under 10 games, +5.8, +4.9	74
Ray Allen 2002-03	27	+3.4	+3.5, +3.1, +3.5, +3.2, +1.2	74
Kemba Walker 2017-18	27	+3.7	+3.2, +3.2, +2.3, -2.1, under 10 games	73

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jayson's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Jayson Tatum's seasons, at the same age.

Dylan Harper SAS like his 2017-18 86
Victor Wembanyama SAS like his 2019-20 53

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jayson Tatum's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $57.0M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $54.1M; Actual
Surplus: +$2.9M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 6.4; Projected
Retires at: 34.8; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Jayson Tatum, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	BOS	28	16 +6	32.6	+4.28	+4.08	+0.20	—
2024-25	BOS	27	72 +8	36.4	+5.77	+5.60	+0.17	14th of 924
2023-24	BOS	26	74 +19	35.7	+5.10	+4.66	+0.44	15th of 1010
2022-23	BOS	25	74 +20	36.9	+4.93	+4.73	+0.20	13th of 1078
2021-22	BOS	24	76 +24	35.9	+5.24	+4.59	+0.65	9th of 1185
2020-21	BOS	23	64 +5	35.8	+2.93	+3.37	-0.43	29th of 1100
2019-20	BOS	22	66 +17	34.3	+3.82	+2.54	+1.28	9th of 813
2018-19	BOS	21	79 +9	31.1	+1.55	+0.39	+1.17	25th of 571
2017-18	BOS	20	80 +19	30.5	+1.39	+0.39	+0.99	13th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 28.6 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.

Jayson Tatum, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	32.3	18.1
Rebounds	13.5	7.6
Offensive	1.3	0.7
Defensive	12.3	6.9
Assists	8.0	4.5
Steals	1.7	0.9
Blocks	0.5	0.3
Turnovers	4.4	2.4
3-pt attempts	12.4	7.0
FG attempts	26.2	14.7
FT attempts	7.4	4.2
FG% · 3P% · FT%	42.4% · 33.2% · 80.2%