Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +2.35
- +1.58 before the first game, +3.93 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.46
- Feb 11 vs TOR · 30 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.65
- Dec 1 vs ATL · 38 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.14 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+3.9 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 21st of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Stephen Curry, 2012-13.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry 2012-13 | 25 | +3.9 | +5.8, +7.1, +7.6, +8.0, +7.2 | 83 |
| Baron Davis 2003-04 | 25 | +3.9 | +3.6, +3.8, +5.2, +4.6, +1.8 | 82 |
| Steve Francis 2000-01 | 24 | +3.7 | +2.5, +3.2, +3.6, +2.6, -0.2 | 81 |
| Russell Westbrook 2012-13 | 24 | +4.8 | +5.3, +5.6, +6.8, +6.7, +6.1 | 77 |
| Gilbert Arenas 2005-06 | 24 | +3.9 | +4.0, +3.5, under 10 games, +2.0, -0.5 | 77 |
| Carmelo Anthony 2008-09 | 25 | +3.7 | +3.3, +2.2, +2.0, +2.2, +2.9 | 75 |
| Mike Conley 2011-12 | 24 | +3.2 | +4.2, +3.9, +3.2, +3.0, +4.7 | 75 |
| Brandon Roy 2008-09 | 24 | +3.4 | +2.1, +0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Grant Hill 1996-97 | 24 | +3.2 | +2.9, +4.0, +3.8, under 10 games, +1.5 | 73 |
| Ben Gordon 2006-07 | 24 | +2.7 | +0.4, +0.1, -0.9, -0.7, -1.3 | 73 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Cade's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Cade Cunningham's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $69.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $46.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$23.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 9.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 24 | 64 +14 | 33.9 | +3.93 | +3.27 | +0.66 | 21st of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 23 | 70 +6 | 35.0 | +1.40 | +1.87 | -0.47 | 116th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 22 | 62 | 33.5 | +0.24 | +1.57 | -1.33 | 182nd of 813 |
| 2022-23 | DET | 21 | 12 | 33.3 | -0.83 | -0.05 | -0.77 | — |
| 2021-22 | DET | 20 | 64 | 32.6 | -0.88 | -0.29 | -0.59 | 118th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29.0 | 15.6 |
| Rebounds | 7.7 | 4.1 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| Assists | 10.0 | 5.3 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 5.5 | 2.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.0 | 4.8 |
| FG attempts | 24.6 | 13.2 |
| FT attempts | 7.7 | 4.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.6% · 34.1% · 79.8% | |
