Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -0.34; +6.16 before the first game, +5.82 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.42; Jan 13 vs SAS · 34 min
Biggest drop: -0.30; May 26 vs SAS · 37 min
Typical change per game: 0.11; Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+5.8 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 13th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Dwyane Wade, 2009-10.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Dwyane Wade 2009-10	28	+7.1	+6.7, +6.4, +5.5, +3.2, +2.2	81
Kevin Durant 2015-16	27	+6.3	+5.8, +5.0, +4.5, under 10 games, +5.8	79
Kawhi Leonard 2018-19	27	+6.2	+6.1, +6.6, under 10 games, +4.8, +5.4	79
Russell Westbrook 2015-16	27	+6.8	+6.7, +6.1, +5.2, +2.4, +2.2	78
Tracy McGrady 2006-07	27	+4.7	+3.3, +1.4, -0.5, -0.3, -0.1	77
Baron Davis 2006-07	28	+5.2	+4.6, +1.8, +2.7, +3.5, +0.6	77
Stephen Curry 2014-15	27	+7.1	+7.6, +8.0, +7.2, +5.8, under 10 games	77
Chris Paul 2012-13	27	+6.6	+7.1, +8.0, +8.1, +8.2, +6.8	77
Paul Pierce 2005-06	28	+4.5	+4.1, +5.4, +4.1, +3.5, +4.2	76
Manu Ginobili 2004-05	27	+5.4	+5.0, +5.5, +5.0, +5.0, +4.8	73

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Shai's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's seasons, at the same age.

VJ Edgecombe PHI like his 2018-19 91
Egor Dëmin BKN like his 2018-19 85
Reed Sheppard HOU like his 2019-20 83
Stephon Castle SAS like his 2019-20 79

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $82.5M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $38.3M; Actual
Surplus: +$44.2M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 11.8; Projected
Retires at: 39.8; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	OKC	27	68 +15	33.2	+5.82	+5.20	+0.62	13th of 924
2024-25	OKC	26	77 +23	34.2	+6.07	+5.47	+0.60	8th of 1010
2023-24	OKC	25	75 +10	34.0	+4.64	+4.01	+0.63	18th of 1078
2022-23	OKC	24	68	35.5	+2.27	+2.75	-0.48	76th of 1185
2021-22	OKC	23	56	34.7	+1.56	+2.67	-1.11	103rd of 1100
2020-21	OKC	22	35	33.7	+0.89	+1.77	-0.88	102nd of 813
2019-20	OKC	22	70 +7	34.7	+0.88	+0.83	+0.05	104th of 813
2018-19	LAC	20	82 +6	26.5	-0.67	-0.56	-0.11	97th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 30.0 projected minutes and a pace of 94.9.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	35.2	20.9
Rebounds	5.9	3.5
Offensive	1.0	0.6
Defensive	4.9	2.9
Assists	8.7	5.2
Steals	2.0	1.2
Blocks	1.2	0.7
Turnovers	4.1	2.4
3-pt attempts	6.1	3.6
FG attempts	25.5	15.1
FT attempts	12.7	7.5
FG% · 3P% · FT%	49.9% · 35.1% · 82.9%