Stephen Curry
Age 38 · 6'3" · 185 lb · USA
Pick #7, 2009 Draft · Rookie 2010 · 1,069 games · 155 playoff games
DPM · #38 of 530
+2.2Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.54
- +3.72 before the first game, +2.19 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.43
- Nov 14 vs SAS · 36 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.31
- Dec 12 vs MIN · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+2.2 at age 38 in 2025-26 ranks 8th of 78 age-38 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Karl Malone, 2001-02.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone 2001-02 | 38 | +2.1 | +1.9, +0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 63 |
| Dirk Nowitzki 2015-16 | 37 | +2.2 | +0.2, -0.1, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 63 |
| Reggie Miller 2003-04 | 38 | +1.0 | 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 59 |
| Terry Porter 2000-01 | 38 | +1.3 | +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 57 |
| Manu Ginobili 2014-15 | 37 | +2.5 | +2.4, +1.0, +0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 57 |
| Steve Nash 2011-12 | 38 | +4.4 | +2.0, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 55 |
| Paul Pierce 2014-15 | 37 | +0.9 | -2.1, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 51 |
| Ray Allen 2012-13 | 37 | -0.4 | -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 51 |
| Scottie Pippen 2002-03 | 37 | +1.7 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 48 |
| Jason Kidd 2010-11 | 38 | +1.5 | +0.5, -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 46 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Stephen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Stephen Curry's seasons, at the same age.
- Cade Cunningham DET like his 2012-13 83
- LaMelo Ball CHA like his 2011-12 80
- Scottie Barnes TOR like his 2011-12 79
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC like his 2014-15 77
- Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL like his 2018-19 67
- Nikola Jokic DEN like his 2018-19 63
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Stephen Curry's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $37.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $59.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$22.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 40.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | GSW | 38 | 43 | 30.9 | +2.19 | +3.96 | -1.77 | 8th of 78 |
| 2024-25 | GSW | 37 | 70 +8 | 32.2 | +3.97 | +4.64 | -0.68 | 7th of 118 |
| 2023-24 | GSW | 36 | 74 | 32.7 | +3.08 | +4.14 | -1.06 | 12th of 189 |
| 2022-23 | GSW | 35 | 56 +13 | 34.7 | +4.70 | +4.90 | -0.19 | 7th of 243 |
| 2021-22 | GSW | 34 | 64 +22 | 34.5 | +4.82 | +4.78 | +0.04 | 13th of 336 |
| 2020-21 | GSW | 33 | 63 | 34.1 | +4.58 | +5.23 | -0.65 | 12th of 406 |
| 2019-20 | GSW | 31 | 5 | 27.9 | +5.46 | +5.08 | +0.38 | — |
| 2018-19 | GSW | 31 | 69 +22 | 33.8 | +5.82 | +5.33 | +0.49 | 7th of 616 |
| 2017-18 | GSW | 30 | 51 +15 | 32.0 | +7.15 | +6.08 | +1.08 | 6th of 697 |
| 2016-17 | GSW | 29 | 79 +17 | 33.4 | +7.96 | +6.20 | +1.75 | 4th of 774 |
| 2015-16 | GSW | 28 | 79 +18 | 34.2 | +7.65 | +6.59 | +1.05 | 7th of 858 |
| 2014-15 | GSW | 27 | 80 +21 | 32.7 | +7.08 | +6.16 | +0.91 | 4th of 924 |
| 2013-14 | GSW | 26 | 78 +7 | 36.5 | +5.79 | +4.91 | +0.88 | 9th of 1010 |
| 2012-13 | GSW | 25 | 78 +12 | 38.2 | +3.86 | +3.59 | +0.27 | 33rd of 1078 |
| 2011-12 | GSW | 24 | 26 | 28.1 | +2.65 | +2.34 | +0.31 | 56th of 1185 |
| 2010-11 | GSW | 23 | 74 | 33.6 | +1.76 | +2.16 | -0.40 | 84th of 1100 |
| 2009-10 | GSW | 22 | 80 | 36.2 | +0.55 | +1.15 | -0.60 | 141st of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 21.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29.4 | 12.6 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 2.5 |
| Offensive | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 5.2 | 2.2 |
| Assists | 8.4 | 3.6 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 15.5 | 6.6 |
| FG attempts | 24.6 | 10.5 |
| FT attempts | 6.5 | 2.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.9% · 34.9% · 90.9% | |