Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jordan 2001-02 | 39 | +3.1 | +1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Steve Nash 2012-13 | 39 | +2.7 | +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 68 |
| Karl Malone 2001-02 | 38 | +2.1 | +2.0, +1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 64 |
| Reggie Miller 2003-04 | 38 | +1.1 | +1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 61 |
| Terry Porter 2000-01 | 38 | +1.6 | +1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 60 |
| Manu Ginobili 2015-16 | 38 | +2.4 | +1.1, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 56 |
| Ray Allen 2012-13 | 37 | +0.1 | -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 53 |
| Dirk Nowitzki 2016-17 | 38 | +0.7 | 0.0, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 50 |
| Jason Kidd 2010-11 | 38 | +2.1 | +1.3, +0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 47 |
| Sam Perkins 1998-99 | 37 | +0.1 | +0.5, -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 41 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Stephen's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Stephen Curry's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +2.8DPMDPM Offense +4.3 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:39.6points6.0rebounds7.8assistsP/R/A100.0
- +2.5DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:33.5points6.1rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A75.3
- +2.2DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:26.8points6.8rebounds9.2assistsP/R/A74.6
- +3.7DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:32.8points7.2rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A71.8
- +3.0DPMDPM Offense +4.1 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:36.8points4.7rebounds9.0assistsP/R/A71.0
- +3.3DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:34.0points6.1rebounds8.2assistsP/R/A68.0
- +4.0DPMDPM Offense +4.7 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:34.7points6.7rebounds7.5assistsP/R/A66.0
- +3.1DPMDPM Offense +3.5 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:41.0points5.8rebounds10.4assistsP/R/A66.0
- +2.4DPMDPM Offense +3.0 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points8.9rebounds6.3assistsP/R/A65.1
- +1.5DPMDPM Offense +3.0 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.9points5.4rebounds8.4assistsP/R/A64.3
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Stephen Curry's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $42.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $62.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$19.9M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 9.6
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.8
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 41.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | GSW | 38 | 6 | 28.8 | +2.84 | +4.27 | -1.43 | — |
| 2025-26 | GSW | 38 | 43 | 30.9 | +2.77 | +4.28 | -1.51 | 7th of 78 |
| 2024-25 | GSW | 37 | 70 +8 | 32.2 | +3.99 | +4.57 | -0.59 | 6th of 118 |
| 2023-24 | GSW | 36 | 74 | 32.7 | +3.72 | +4.81 | -1.10 | 11th of 189 |
| 2022-23 | GSW | 35 | 56 +13 | 34.7 | +4.79 | +5.17 | -0.38 | 8th of 243 |
| 2021-22 | GSW | 34 | 64 +22 | 34.5 | +5.12 | +5.04 | +0.08 | 9th of 337 |
| 2020-21 | GSW | 33 | 63 | 34.1 | +4.18 | +5.00 | -0.83 | 14th of 405 |
| 2019-20 | GSW | 31 | 5 | 27.9 | +5.46 | +5.21 | +0.25 | — |
| 2018-19 | GSW | 31 | 69 +22 | 33.8 | +5.84 | +5.36 | +0.48 | 7th of 616 |
| 2017-18 | GSW | 30 | 51 +15 | 32.0 | +7.43 | +6.30 | +1.14 | 5th of 697 |
| 2016-17 | GSW | 29 | 79 +17 | 33.4 | +8.16 | +6.45 | +1.71 | 4th of 774 |
| 2015-16 | GSW | 28 | 79 +18 | 34.2 | +8.21 | +6.97 | +1.24 | 5th of 858 |
| 2014-15 | GSW | 27 | 80 +21 | 32.7 | +7.38 | +6.45 | +0.94 | 3rd of 924 |
| 2013-14 | GSW | 26 | 78 +7 | 36.5 | +5.77 | +4.89 | +0.88 | 9th of 1010 |
| 2012-13 | GSW | 25 | 78 +12 | 38.2 | +3.49 | +3.46 | +0.03 | 41st of 1077 |
| 2011-12 | GSW | 24 | 26 | 28.1 | +2.67 | +2.61 | +0.06 | 61st of 1185 |
| 2010-11 | GSW | 23 | 74 | 33.6 | +1.60 | +2.05 | -0.46 | 97th of 1100 |
| 2009-10 | GSW | 22 | 80 | 36.2 | +0.69 | +1.15 | -0.46 | 120th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 30.5 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 39.6 | 24.7 |
| Rebounds | 6.0 | 3.7 |
| Offensive | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 5.1 | 3.2 |
| Assists | 7.8 | 4.9 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 17.6 | 11.0 |
| FG attempts | 27.3 | 17.0 |
| FT attempts | 8.1 | 5.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.5% · 39.1% · 90.8% | |









