Victor Wembanyama Profile

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
LeBron James 2007-08	23	+7.5	+9.1, +9.3, +8.1, +8.7, +8.9	67
Tim Duncan 1998-99	23	+4.9	+5.8, +7.3, +8.6, +10.0, +10.0	64
Nikola Jokic 2017-18	23	+5.2	+5.2, +4.7, +4.6, +5.8, +6.8	63
Giannis Antetokounmpo 2017-18	23	+4.5	+6.0, +6.3, +6.7, +7.1, +6.8	58
Jayson Tatum 2019-20	22	+4.7	+3.4, +5.1, +5.5, +5.7, +6.1	52
Paul Pierce 2000-01	23	+4.1	+4.8, +4.9, +3.8, +4.3, +4.4	50
Tracy McGrady 2001-02	22	+4.4	+4.8, +4.1, +5.2, +4.5, +5.1	50
Anthony Davis 2014-15	22	+3.9	+2.6, +3.0, +4.1, +4.7, +4.3	49
Andrei Kirilenko 2003-04	23	+3.6	+3.9, +4.3, +2.8, +4.0, +3.6	46
Dirk Nowitzki 2000-01	22	+4.3	+4.2, +5.7, +5.1, +6.5, +7.3	45

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Victor's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Victor Wembanyama's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Victor Wembanyama SAS Self

+6.7DPMDPM Offense +4.3 Defense +2.4 Per 100 possessions:41.1points16.6rebounds5.4assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Nikola Jokic DEN ↗

+7.1DPMDPM Offense +5.0 Defense +2.1 Per 100 possessions:32.5points15.8rebounds13.6assistsP/R/A
54.7
3 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC ↗

+6.2DPMDPM Offense +5.7 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:42.9points5.7rebounds9.3assistsP/R/A
54.6
4 Luka Doncic LAL ↗

+5.8DPMDPM Offense +5.5 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:42.6points10.2rebounds10.7assistsP/R/A
52.2
5 Anthony Edwards MIN ↗

+5.2DPMDPM Offense +5.3 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:39.4points6.9rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A
50.6
6 Jayson Tatum BOS ↗

+5.0DPMDPM Offense +4.9 Defense +0.1 Per 100 possessions:36.9points11.3rebounds9.8assistsP/R/A
47.9
7 Kawhi Leonard TOR ↗

+5.7DPMDPM Offense +4.8 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:36.2points9.6rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A
45.4
8 Cade Cunningham DET ↗

+4.4DPMDPM Offense +3.9 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:36.8points7.6rebounds12.5assistsP/R/A
44.9
9 Chet Holmgren OKC ↗

+3.4DPMDPM Offense +1.1 Defense +2.3 Per 100 possessions:25.8points14.3rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
43.9
10 Joel Embiid PHI ↗

+3.8DPMDPM Offense +2.3 Defense +1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.4points11.7rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A
40.7

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Victor Wembanyama's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $86.7M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $16.9M; Actual
Surplus: +$69.9M; Value minus salary
WARP: 18.2; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 11.8; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 35.0; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Victor Wembanyama, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	SAS	22	7	31.2	+6.73	+4.26	+2.48	—
2025-26	SAS	22	64 +22	29.1	+6.19	+3.86	+2.33	2nd of 813
2024-25	SAS	21	46	33.2	+5.47	+3.18	+2.29	1st of 571
2023-24	SAS	20	71	29.7	+4.98	+2.75	+2.23	1st of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 32.1 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.3.

Victor Wembanyama, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	41.1	27.0
Rebounds	16.6	10.9
Offensive	3.7	2.4
Defensive	12.9	8.5
Assists	5.4	3.6
Steals	1.9	1.2
Blocks	4.8	3.2
Turnovers	4.0	2.6
3-pt attempts	9.0	5.9
FG attempts	28.0	18.4
FT attempts	10.3	6.7
FG% · 3P% · FT%	51.7% · 33.9% · 81.5%