Anthony Davis
Age 33 · 6'10" · 253 lb · USA
Pick #1, 2012 Draft · Rookie 2013 · 808 games · 60 playoff games
DPM · #56 of 530
+1.6Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.74
- +3.34 before the first game, +1.61 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.08
- Jan 8 vs UTA · 35 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.12
- Oct 24 vs WAS · 38 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 10 games, vs 0.05 in the first 10. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.6 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 53rd of 406 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Paul Millsap, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap 2017-18 | 33 | +1.7 | +2.3, +1.3, +2.0, -2.1, under 10 games | 84 |
| Brad Miller 2008-09 | 33 | +1.6 | +0.7, -0.3, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Al Horford 2018-19 | 32 | +1.9 | +0.5, -1.6, +1.6, +0.5, +0.9 | 77 |
| Nene 2015-16 | 33 | +1.2 | +1.3, +1.9, +1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Pau Gasol 2012-13 | 32 | +0.9 | -0.5, -0.5, -0.9, -1.5, -2.3 | 77 |
| LaMarcus Aldridge 2018-19 | 33 | +3.0 | +0.8, -0.9, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| P.J. Brown 2002-03 | 33 | +1.3 | +1.4, -0.4, -1.0, +0.3, -2.6 | 77 |
| David West 2013-14 | 33 | +0.9 | +0.3, +0.3, -1.4, -1.5, under 10 games | 77 |
| Anderson Varejao 2014-15 | 32 | +1.7 | -1.5, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Danny Manning 1998-99 | 32 | +1.2 | -1.9, -0.7, -1.9, -2.4, under 10 games | 76 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Anthony's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Anthony Davis's seasons, at the same age.
- Victor Wembanyama SAS like his 2014-15 61
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Anthony Davis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $18.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $54.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$35.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 35.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WAS | 33 | 20 | 31.3 | +1.61 | +0.13 | +1.47 | 53rd of 406 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 32 | 51 | 33.4 | +3.61 | +1.61 | +2.00 | 25th of 530 |
| 2023-24 | LAL | 31 | 77 +5 | 35.6 | +4.03 | +1.63 | +2.39 | 26th of 616 |
| 2022-23 | LAL | 30 | 56 +16 | 34.0 | +4.02 | +1.39 | +2.63 | 28th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | LAL | 29 | 40 | 35.1 | +2.28 | +0.45 | +1.83 | 91st of 774 |
| 2020-21 | LAL | 28 | 36 +5 | 32.3 | +3.77 | +1.43 | +2.34 | 33rd of 858 |
| 2019-20 | LAL | 27 | 62 +21 | 34.4 | +4.24 | +2.12 | +2.12 | 25th of 924 |
| 2018-19 | NOP | 26 | 56 | 33.0 | +3.74 | +2.15 | +1.58 | 33rd of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | NOP | 25 | 75 +9 | 36.4 | +3.67 | +1.67 | +2.00 | 37th of 1078 |
| 2016-17 | NOP | 24 | 75 | 36.1 | +3.08 | +1.52 | +1.55 | 39th of 1185 |
| 2015-16 | NOP | 23 | 61 | 35.5 | +2.31 | +1.64 | +0.66 | 46th of 1100 |
| 2014-15 | NOP | 22 | 68 +4 | 36.1 | +4.14 | +2.74 | +1.40 | 6th of 813 |
| 2013-14 | NOP | 21 | 67 | 35.2 | +2.11 | +2.05 | +0.06 | 13th of 571 |
| 2012-13 | NOP | 20 | 64 | 28.8 | +1.19 | +0.58 | +0.61 | 22nd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.0 projected minutes and a pace of 94.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 26.1 | 11.3 |
| Rebounds | 16.1 | 7.0 |
| Offensive | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| Defensive | 11.9 | 5.1 |
| Assists | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| FG attempts | 21.3 | 9.2 |
| FT attempts | 6.1 | 2.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 48.3% · 29.3% · 75.1% | |