Donovan Mitchell Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -0.57; +4.73 before the first game, +4.16 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.30; Feb 1 vs POR · 31 min
Biggest drop: -0.33; May 15 vs DET · 37 min
Typical change per game: 0.09; Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+4.2 at age 29 in 2025-26 ranks 26th of 774 age-29 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Paul Pierce, 2006-07.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Paul Pierce 2006-07	29	+4.1	+5.4, +4.1, +3.5, +4.2, +3.5	88
Kyrie Irving 2020-21	29	+3.6	+3.8, +3.7, +3.6, +2.5, under 10 games	84
Damian Lillard 2019-20	30	+4.3	+4.0, +4.3, +4.5, +2.6, +1.6	83
Vince Carter 2005-06	29	+3.7	+3.4, +3.0, +2.1, +3.1, +0.7	80
Mike Conley 2016-17	29	+4.7	+3.5, +4.1, +0.8, +3.4, +2.4	80
Kobe Bryant 2007-08	29	+5.0	+4.9, +4.9, +3.7, +2.7, +2.3	80
Kevin Durant 2017-18	29	+5.0	+4.5, under 10 games, +5.8, +4.9, +5.0	80
James Harden 2018-19	29	+5.2	+6.0, +4.9, +3.8, +4.2, +3.3	79
Baron Davis 2007-08	29	+4.6	+1.8, +2.7, +3.5, +0.6, under 10 games	79
Ray Allen 2004-05	29	+3.1	+3.5, +3.2, +1.2, +1.8, +0.9	76

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Donovan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Donovan Mitchell's seasons, at the same age.

LaMelo Ball CHA like his 2020-21 78

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Donovan Mitchell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $66.2M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $46.4M; Actual
Surplus: +$19.8M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 7.0; Projected
Retires at: 36.9; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Donovan Mitchell, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	CLE	29	70 +18	33.5	+4.16	+4.74	-0.59	26th of 774
2024-25	CLE	28	71 +9	31.4	+4.92	+4.98	-0.06	21st of 858
2023-24	CLE	27	55 +10	35.3	+4.80	+3.88	+0.92	20th of 924
2022-23	CLE	26	68 +5	35.8	+3.62	+3.84	-0.22	35th of 1010
2021-22	UTA	25	67 +6	33.8	+3.48	+4.46	-0.98	40th of 1078
2020-21	UTA	24	53 +10	33.4	+3.16	+4.20	-1.04	37th of 1185
2019-20	UTA	23	69 +7	34.3	+2.37	+3.22	-0.86	43rd of 1100
2018-19	UTA	22	77 +5	33.7	+2.82	+2.37	+0.45	21st of 813
2017-18	UTA	21	79 +11	33.4	+1.32	+1.76	-0.44	36th of 571

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 25.5 projected minutes and a pace of 95.6.

Donovan Mitchell, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	33.2	16.9
Rebounds	6.9	3.5
Offensive	1.1	0.6
Defensive	5.8	2.9
Assists	5.2	2.6
Steals	2.0	1.0
Blocks	0.4	0.2
Turnovers	3.6	1.8
3-pt attempts	11.4	5.8
FG attempts	26.1	13.3
FT attempts	8.3	4.2
FG% · 3P% · FT%	43.7% · 34.0% · 80.6%