Kevin Durant
Age 37 · 6'9" · 240 lb · USA
Pick #2, 2007 Draft · Rookie 2008 · 1,201 games · 171 playoff games
DPM · #17 of 530
+3.3Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.63
- +1.65 before the first game, +3.28 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.33
- Jan 16 vs MIN · 40 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.24
- Jan 15 vs OKC · 37 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.14 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+3.3 at age 37 in 2025-26 ranks 9th of 118 age-37 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Manu Ginobili, 2013-14.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili 2013-14 | 36 | +4.3 | +2.5, +2.4, +1.0, +0.1, under 10 games | 79 |
| Dirk Nowitzki 2015-16 | 37 | +2.2 | +0.2, -0.1, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
| Karl Malone 2000-01 | 37 | +4.2 | +2.1, +1.9, +0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 72 |
| Vince Carter 2013-14 | 37 | +1.3 | -1.3, -2.0, -1.0, -1.8, -2.5 | 65 |
| Terry Porter 1999-00 | 37 | +1.8 | +1.3, +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 64 |
| Jason Kidd 2009-10 | 37 | +2.7 | +1.5, +0.5, -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 62 |
| Dominique Wilkins 1996-97 | 37 | +1.3 | under 10 games, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 61 |
| Steve Nash 2011-12 | 38 | +4.4 | +2.0, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 61 |
| Scottie Pippen 2002-03 | 37 | +1.7 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 60 |
| Charles Barkley 1999-00 | 37 | +1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 60 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kevin's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Kevin Durant's seasons, at the same age.
- Jeremiah Fears NOP like his 2007-08 81
- Donovan Mitchell CLE like his 2017-18 80
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC like his 2015-16 79
- Jayson Tatum BOS like his 2016-17 74
- Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL like his 2018-19 71
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kevin Durant's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $48.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $54.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$6.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 41.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | HOU | 37 | 78 +1 | 36.4 | +3.28 | +3.05 | +0.23 | 9th of 118 |
| 2024-25 | PHX | 36 | 62 | 36.5 | +2.20 | +2.91 | -0.71 | 19th of 189 |
| 2023-24 | PHX | 35 | 75 +4 | 37.2 | +4.56 | +3.98 | +0.57 | 8th of 243 |
| 2022-23 | PHX | 34 | 47 +11 | 35.6 | +5.02 | +4.41 | +0.61 | 10th of 336 |
| 2021-22 | BKN | 33 | 55 +4 | 37.2 | +4.91 | +5.08 | -0.17 | 10th of 406 |
| 2020-21 | BKN | 32 | 35 +12 | 33.0 | +5.78 | +5.28 | +0.50 | 7th of 530 |
| 2019-20 | BKN | 31 | 0 | — | +3.06 | +3.16 | -0.10 | — |
| 2018-19 | GSW | 30 | 78 +12 | 34.6 | +4.53 | +4.81 | -0.28 | 24th of 697 |
| 2017-18 | GSW | 29 | 68 +21 | 34.2 | +4.99 | +5.36 | -0.37 | 20th of 774 |
| 2016-17 | GSW | 28 | 62 +15 | 33.4 | +5.84 | +5.83 | +0.01 | 14th of 858 |
| 2015-16 | OKC | 27 | 72 +18 | 35.8 | +6.34 | +6.43 | -0.09 | 9th of 924 |
| 2014-15 | OKC | 26 | 27 | 33.8 | +6.60 | +6.42 | +0.19 | 6th of 1010 |
| 2013-14 | OKC | 25 | 81 +19 | 38.5 | +6.41 | +6.63 | -0.22 | 5th of 1078 |
| 2012-13 | OKC | 24 | 81 +11 | 38.5 | +5.81 | +5.94 | -0.13 | 6th of 1185 |
| 2011-12 | OKC | 23 | 66 +20 | 38.6 | +4.82 | +5.32 | -0.50 | 7th of 1100 |
| 2010-11 | OKC | 22 | 78 +17 | 38.9 | +3.55 | +4.10 | -0.56 | 13th of 813 |
| 2009-10 | OKC | 21 | 82 +6 | 39.5 | +3.76 | +3.87 | -0.11 | 3rd of 571 |
| 2008-09 | OKC | 20 | 74 | 39.0 | -0.81 | +0.49 | -1.30 | 110th of 354 |
| 2007-08 | OKC | 19 | 80 | 34.6 | -1.57 | -0.18 | -1.39 | 54th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 28.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 31.9 | 17.8 |
| Rebounds | 8.1 | 4.5 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 7.2 | 4.0 |
| Assists | 6.8 | 3.8 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.0 | 5.0 |
| FG attempts | 23.0 | 12.8 |
| FT attempts | 8.6 | 4.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.2% · 37.4% · 84.6% | |