Eastern Conference
Indiana Pacers
Record 4-8Projected 35.8-46.2Playoffs 34.5%Win conference 0.6%Win Finals 0.1%Lottery 65.5%Expected pick 11.3SRS -0.65
DARKO rating · #20 of 30
-0.8Worth about 34 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 12, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +2.09; the ones below take away 2.90.
- Pascal Siakam Offense+1.16 Defense-0.33 Net+0.83
- Tyrese Haliburton Offense+0.57 Defense+0.02 Net+0.59
- Ivica Zubac Offense-0.03 Defense+0.54 Net+0.52
- Jalen Slawson Offense-0.17 Defense+0.28 Net+0.11
- Obi Toppin Offense+0.40 Defense-0.36 Net+0.04
- Jay Huff Offense-0.21 Defense+0.21 Net0.00
- Quenton Jackson Offense-0.13 Defense+0.06 Net-0.06
- Johnny Furphy Offense-0.23 Defense+0.09 Net-0.14
- T.J. McConnell Offense-0.10 Defense-0.13 Net-0.23
- Kobe Brown Offense-0.06 Defense-0.17 Net-0.23
- Aaron Nesmith Offense+0.06 Defense-0.36 Net-0.30
- Braden Smith Offense-0.31 Defense+0.02 Net-0.30
- Kelly Oubre Jr. Offense-0.10 Defense-0.29 Net-0.39
- Andrew Nembhard Offense+0.34 Defense-0.92 Net-0.58
- Jarace Walker Offense-0.42 Defense-0.26 Net-0.68
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Aaron Nesmith | G-F | -0.6 | +0.1 | -0.7 | $11.9M | -1.7 | -0.1 | 25.7 | 98.9 | 23.2 | 3.2 | 43.4% | 38.6% | 84.3% |
| Andrew Nembhard | G-F | -0.9 | +0.5 | -1.4 | $10.5M | -0.3 | -1.2 | 31.5 | 98.9 | 23.5 | 11.3 | 45.5% | 36.6% | 84.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | G | -1.6 | -1.0 | -0.5 | $2.4M | -1.0 | -2.0 | 6.7 | 98.9 | 15.9 | 3.4 | 43.4% | 36.4% | 80.7% |
| Braden Smith | G | -2.0 | -2.1 | +0.1 | -$0.5M | -2.0 | -1.9 | 7.0 | 98.9 | 16.4 | 10.3 | 41.0% | 33.6% | 78.6% |
| Ivica Zubac | C | +1.1 | -0.1 | +1.1 | $21.1M | +0.6 | +1.1 | 23.4 | 98.5 | 23.8 | 4.0 | 61.5% | 18.3% | 69.2% |
| Jalen Slawson | F | +0.7 | -1.1 | +1.8 | $7.0M | +0.9 | -0.1 | 7.4 | 98.2 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 44.3% | 32.5% | 74.5% |
| Jarace Walker | F | -2.5 | -1.5 | -1.0 | -$2.1M | -2.3 | -2.7 | 13.1 | 98.9 | 20.5 | 5.0 | 42.7% | 36.7% | 73.9% |
| Jay Huff | C | -0.0 | -1.0 | +1.0 | $8.7M | +1.3 | -1.8 | 10.4 | 98.9 | 22.9 | 3.3 | 47.7% | 34.8% | 81.1% |
| Johnny Furphy | G | -0.9 | -1.5 | +0.6 | $4.1M | -1.2 | +0.0 | 7.6 | 98.8 | 15.1 | 3.4 | 45.9% | 32.5% | 67.6% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | F | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.6 | $5.8M | +0.5 | -1.0 | 22.5 | 98.2 | 21.3 | 2.9 | 46.1% | 34.2% | 76.9% |
| Kobe Brown | F | -1.4 | -0.4 | -1.0 | $3.5M | -0.8 | -2.7 | 8.0 | 98.4 | 18.2 | 3.6 | 45.9% | 34.8% | 77.7% |
| Larry Nance Jr. | F | -2.2 | -3.4 | +1.2 | -$1.9M | +0.1 | -3.0 | 5.6 | 98.1 | 16.4 | 3.0 | 46.5% | 34.7% | 69.0% |
| Obi Toppin | F | +0.1 | +1.3 | -1.2 | $11.7M | +2.1 | -0.8 | 14.1 | 98.9 | 29.0 | 4.6 | 50.6% | 36.3% | 80.4% |
| Pascal Siakam | F | +1.2 | +1.7 | -0.5 | $30.6M | +0.5 | +1.3 | 32.5 | 98.9 | 31.9 | 6.1 | 49.2% | 34.6% | 73.9% |
| Quenton Jackson | G | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.2 | $13.9M | -0.2 | -0.3 | 18.1 | 98.5 | 21.7 | 7.4 | 46.7% | 35.3% | 82.9% |
| T.J. McConnell | G | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.6 | $2.8M | +0.7 | -1.5 | 9.9 | 98.5 | 24.0 | 13.4 | 51.9% | 31.2% | 79.9% |
| Tyrese Haliburton | G | +3.0 | +2.9 | +0.1 | $38.2M | +3.5 | +2.8 | 9.4 | 98.6 | 30.4 | 12.6 | 47.7% | 38.5% | 84.9% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 32 | +1.2 | 5.6 | 90% |
| Andrew Nembhard | 26 | -0.9 | 6.1 | 88% |
| Aaron Nesmith | 27 | -0.6 | 4.0 | 66% |
| Ivica Zubac | 29 | +1.1 | 4.7 | 81% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 30 | -0.8 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Quenton Jackson | 28 | -0.2 | 2.8 | 45% |
| Obi Toppin | 28 | +0.1 | 3.9 | 68% |
| Jarace Walker | 23 | -2.5 | 6.0 | 81% |
| Jay Huff | 28 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 50% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$209.1M of salary for $172.3M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Tyrese Haliburton : salary $48.9M, DARKO value $38.2M, surplus -$10.7M
- Pascal Siakam : salary $48.9M, DARKO value $30.6M, surplus -$18.4M
- Ivica Zubac : salary $20.3M, DARKO value $21.1M, surplus +$0.7M
- Andrew Nembhard : salary $19.6M, DARKO value $10.5M, surplus -$9.0M
- Obi Toppin : salary $15.0M, DARKO value $11.7M, surplus -$3.3M
- Aaron Nesmith : salary $11.0M, DARKO value $11.9M, surplus +$0.9M
- T.J. McConnell : salary $11.0M, DARKO value $2.8M, surplus -$8.2M
- Jarace Walker : salary $8.5M, DARKO value -$2.1M, surplus -$10.6M
- Kelly Oubre Jr. : salary $8.1M, DARKO value $5.8M, surplus -$2.3M
- Ben Sheppard : salary $5.0M, DARKO value $2.4M, surplus -$2.6M
- Jay Huff : salary $2.7M, DARKO value $8.7M, surplus +$6.0M
- Larry Nance Jr. : salary $2.4M, DARKO value -$1.9M, surplus -$4.4M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy | 188 | -1.5 | -2.8 | +1.2 |
| Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy | 105 | -1.5 | -1.9 | +0.3 |
| Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker | 192 | -4.5 | -3.0 | -1.4 |
Worst Lineups
No other lineup is still together.
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed November 13, 2026.