Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.61
- +0.25 before the first game, -0.36 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.52
- Jan 23 vs OKC · 36 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.43
- Dec 20 vs NOP · 27 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.14 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.4 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 470th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jeremy Lin, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lin 2014-15 | 26 | -0.9 | -0.4, -0.4, under 10 games, -3.4, under 10 games | 88 |
| Brandon Jennings 2015-16 | 26 | -0.4 | -0.8, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Chris Whitney 1997-98 | 26 | -0.7 | -0.6, +0.6, -0.5, -0.2, -2.3 | 87 |
| Jerian Grant 2017-18 | 25 | -0.4 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jason Terry 2002-03 | 25 | -0.4 | -0.3, +1.5, +2.1, +2.1, +1.4 | 86 |
| Chauncey Billups 2001-02 | 25 | -0.2 | +1.5, +0.8, +1.2, +2.0, +2.5 | 86 |
| Greivis Vasquez 2012-13 | 26 | +0.3 | +0.7, -0.6, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Shelvin Mack 2015-16 | 25 | +0.1 | -1.4, -0.6, -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Nick Van Exel 1997-98 | 26 | -0.4 | -0.8, 0.0, +0.3, -0.9, -0.9 | 86 |
| Jarrett Jack 2009-10 | 26 | -0.6 | -2.2, -2.7, -1.6, -2.9, -3.2 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Andrew's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Andrew Nembhard's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $18.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$6.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | IND | 26 | 57 | 31.3 | -0.36 | +0.62 | -0.97 | 470th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 25 | 65 +23 | 28.9 | +0.15 | -0.10 | +0.25 | 335th of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 24 | 68 +17 | 24.9 | -1.27 | -0.43 | -0.85 | 704th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | IND | 23 | 75 | 27.6 | -2.53 | -1.14 | -1.39 | 960th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 30.5 projected minutes and a pace of 95.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.9 | 14.4 |
| Rebounds | 5.2 | 3.1 |
| Offensive | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 4.3 | 2.6 |
| Assists | 10.4 | 6.3 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.7 | 5.3 |
| FG attempts | 20.4 | 12.3 |
| FT attempts | 5.9 | 3.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.6% · 33.5% · 78.9% | |
