Jarace Walker
Age 22 · 6'8" · 235 lb
Pick #8, 2023 Draft · Rookie 2024 · 185 games · 21 playoff games
DPM · #454 of 530
-2.2Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.26
- -0.93 before the first game, -2.19 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.53
- Jan 10 vs MIA · 30 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.55
- Jan 17 vs DET · 26 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.14
- Last 20 games, vs 0.21 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.2 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 663rd of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Gerald Green, 2007-08.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Green 2007-08 | 22 | -2.4 | -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, -0.8, -1.7 | 87 |
| Austin Rivers 2014-15 | 22 | -2.5 | -2.5, -1.8, -1.3, -1.7, -0.7 | 87 |
| Michael Beasley 2011-12 | 23 | -1.7 | -3.5, -2.2, -2.4, -2.6, -1.0 | 87 |
| Jordan Hamilton 2012-13 | 22 | -2.3 | -1.0, -1.8, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Josh Jackson 2018-19 | 22 | -2.2 | -0.4, -0.5, -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Miles Bridges 2019-20 | 21 | -1.6 | +0.2, +1.1, under 10 games, -0.8, -0.1 | 86 |
| Malik Monk 2019-20 | 22 | -2.2 | -1.2, -0.2, -0.4, -1.1, -0.8 | 86 |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 2017-18 | 23 | -1.9 | -2.9, -1.0, -1.5, -1.8, under 10 games | 86 |
| Nik Stauskas 2015-16 | 22 | -2.2 | -1.9, -1.8, -3.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Devean George 1999-00 | 22 | -1.8 | -2.8, +0.3, +0.5, +1.1, +0.2 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jarace's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jarace Walker's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$1.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$8.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | IND | 22 | 76 | 25.7 | -2.19 | -1.04 | -1.15 | 663rd of 813 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 21 | 75 +12 | 15.8 | -1.21 | -1.46 | +0.25 | 280th of 571 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 20 | 34 +9 | 10.0 | -1.28 | -1.70 | +0.42 | 156th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 28.7 projected minutes and a pace of 95.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.6 | 13.4 |
| Rebounds | 9.9 | 5.7 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 8.5 | 4.9 |
| Assists | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.8 | 5.6 |
| FG attempts | 20.2 | 11.5 |
| FT attempts | 5.0 | 2.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.5% · 34.7% · 72.0% | |