Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.29
- +2.33 before the first game, +1.03 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.32
- Nov 19 vs CHA · 37 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.28
- Nov 13 vs PHX · 31 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.0 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 119th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Grant Hill, 2004-05.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill 2004-05 | 32 | +1.6 | +0.9, +0.3, +0.6, +0.6, -1.4 | 85 |
| Toni Kukoc 2000-01 | 32 | +1.1 | -0.1, +1.9, +1.1, 0.0, -1.0 | 84 |
| Goran Dragic 2017-18 | 31 | +1.1 | +0.6, +1.0, -0.9, -1.7, -3.0 | 82 |
| Vince Carter 2008-09 | 32 | +2.1 | +3.1, +0.7, +1.4, +1.9, +1.3 | 82 |
| Carmelo Anthony 2015-16 | 31 | +2.1 | +0.1, +0.1, -2.0, -1.6, -2.4 | 81 |
| Tony Parker 2013-14 | 32 | +1.0 | -0.6, -0.1, -0.8, -2.7, -3.6 | 80 |
| Mike Dunleavy 2011-12 | 31 | +1.2 | +0.7, +0.9, +0.6, -0.5, -2.6 | 79 |
| Sam Cassell 2001-02 | 32 | +1.6 | +0.6, +2.1, +1.5, +0.6, -1.0 | 78 |
| Steven Smith 2000-01 | 32 | +0.9 | -0.2, -0.9, -2.0, -3.0, under 10 games | 78 |
| Chris Bosh 2015-16 | 32 | +1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Pascal's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Pascal Siakam's seasons, at the same age.
- Jalen Smith CHI like his 2019-20 85
- Sandro Mamukelashvili TOR like his 2019-20 85
- Jaren Jackson Jr. UTA like his 2020-21 82
- Michael Porter Jr. BKN like his 2020-21 81
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Pascal Siakam's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $19.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $45.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$26.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 35.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | IND | 32 | 62 | 33.2 | +1.03 | +1.68 | -0.65 | 119th of 530 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 31 | 78 +23 | 32.7 | +2.29 | +2.00 | +0.29 | 66th of 616 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 30 | 80 +17 | 33.2 | +1.71 | +2.45 | -0.74 | 109th of 697 |
| 2022-23 | TOR | 29 | 71 | 37.4 | +2.29 | +2.00 | +0.29 | 89th of 774 |
| 2021-22 | TOR | 28 | 68 +6 | 37.9 | +2.83 | +2.02 | +0.81 | 73rd of 858 |
| 2020-21 | TOR | 27 | 56 | 35.8 | +1.75 | +1.40 | +0.34 | 136th of 924 |
| 2019-20 | TOR | 26 | 60 +11 | 35.2 | +1.26 | +0.76 | +0.51 | 189th of 1010 |
| 2018-19 | TOR | 25 | 80 +24 | 31.8 | +1.24 | +0.56 | +0.68 | 161st of 1078 |
| 2017-18 | TOR | 24 | 81 +10 | 20.7 | +0.65 | -0.31 | +0.96 | 223rd of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | TOR | 23 | 55 +2 | 15.6 | -2.91 | -3.17 | +0.26 | 1027th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 31.2 projected minutes and a pace of 95.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 32.8 | 20.4 |
| Rebounds | 10.1 | 6.3 |
| Offensive | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Defensive | 7.8 | 4.8 |
| Assists | 5.2 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.4 | 4.6 |
| FG attempts | 27.5 | 17.1 |
| FT attempts | 10.7 | 6.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.5% · 33.0% · 66.6% | |
