Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.08
- -0.51 before the first game, -0.59 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.61
- Dec 8 vs SAC · 10 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.88
- Nov 3 vs MIL · 13 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.27
- Last 17 games, vs 0.40 in the first 17. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.6 at age 21 in 2025-26 ranks 192nd of 571 age-21 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Justise Winslow, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justise Winslow 2017-18 | 22 | -0.4 | +0.4, -0.5, -2.4, 0.0, -0.3 | 91 |
| Kevon Looney 2016-17 | 21 | -0.9 | +1.3, +2.0, +1.3, +0.4, +1.9 | 88 |
| Josh Okogie 2019-20 | 21 | -0.2 | 0.0, +0.3, +1.4, +0.5, +1.8 | 88 |
| Maurice Harkless 2013-14 | 20 | 0.0 | +0.2, +0.9, +0.9, +1.5, +1.9 | 87 |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 2015-16 | 21 | -0.3 | +0.5, +0.4, -0.4, +0.3, -0.5 | 86 |
| Troy Brown Jr. 2020-21 | 21 | -0.5 | -0.6, -0.9, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jarrett Culver 2019-20 | 21 | -0.7 | -1.7, -2.5, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. 2017-18 | 21 | -1.1 | +0.4, +0.7, -0.4, +0.8, +1.6 | 85 |
| Miles Bridges 2018-19 | 21 | -0.5 | -1.6, +0.2, +1.1, under 10 games, -0.8 | 85 |
| Grant Williams 2019-20 | 21 | -1.0 | -1.4, -0.6, +0.1, -1.4, -0.1 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Johnny's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Johnny Furphy's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $7.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$5.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 21.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | IND | 21 | 35 | 18.4 | -0.59 | -1.45 | +0.85 | 192nd of 571 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 20 | 50 +11 | 7.6 | -0.68 | -1.74 | +1.06 | 98th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 16.9 projected minutes and a pace of 95.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.6 | 5.2 |
| Rebounds | 11.4 | 3.8 |
| Offensive | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 8.8 | 2.9 |
| Assists | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| FG attempts | 13.7 | 4.6 |
| FT attempts | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.7% · 29.8% · 61.3% | |
