Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.49
- -0.21 before the first game, -0.69 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.28
- Mar 29 vs MIA · 18 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.30
- Nov 17 vs DET · 15 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.7 at age 34 in 2025-26 ranks 156th of 336 age-34 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Mookie Blaylock, 2000-01.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mookie Blaylock 2000-01 | 34 | -1.4 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Rod Strickland 1999-00 | 33 | -0.8 | -1.6, -0.1, -0.8, -2.0, -1.9 | 80 |
| Tony Parker 2015-16 | 33 | -0.1 | -0.8, -2.7, -3.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Mark Price 1997-98 | 34 | -0.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| John Starks 1999-00 | 34 | -1.0 | -1.4, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
| Beno Udrih 2016-17 | 34 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
| Allen Iverson 2008-09 | 33 | -0.6 | -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Greg Anthony 2001-02 | 34 | -1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Bobby Jackson 2006-07 | 34 | 0.0 | 0.0, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Avery Johnson 1998-99 | 34 | +0.4 | -0.5, -1.2, -1.1, -3.8, -3.8 | 73 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to T.J.'s 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against T.J. McConnell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $7.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $10.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | IND | 34 | 56 | 17.2 | -0.69 | -0.12 | -0.57 | 156th of 336 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 33 | 79 +23 | 17.9 | -0.09 | +0.42 | -0.51 | 141st of 406 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 32 | 72 +17 | 18.2 | +1.63 | +1.81 | -0.19 | 79th of 530 |
| 2022-23 | IND | 31 | 75 | 20.4 | +0.36 | +0.28 | +0.08 | 216th of 616 |
| 2021-22 | IND | 30 | 27 | 24.1 | -0.32 | -0.42 | +0.09 | 353rd of 697 |
| 2020-21 | IND | 29 | 69 | 26.0 | +0.33 | +0.08 | +0.25 | 282nd of 774 |
| 2019-20 | IND | 28 | 71 +3 | 18.7 | -0.59 | -0.44 | -0.14 | 477th of 858 |
| 2018-19 | PHI | 27 | 76 +9 | 19.3 | -1.44 | -1.23 | -0.21 | 698th of 924 |
| 2017-18 | PHI | 26 | 76 +10 | 22.5 | -1.42 | -1.28 | -0.14 | 735th of 1010 |
| 2016-17 | PHI | 25 | 81 | 26.3 | -0.99 | -1.02 | +0.03 | 622nd of 1078 |
| 2015-16 | PHI | 24 | 81 | 19.8 | -0.91 | -0.50 | -0.40 | 600th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.7 projected minutes and a pace of 94.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.3 | 10.0 |
| Rebounds | 6.8 | 3.0 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| Assists | 12.7 | 5.7 |
| Steals | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| FG attempts | 21.1 | 9.4 |
| FT attempts | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.3% · 30.8% · 78.1% | |
