Larry Nance Jr.
Age 33 · 6'9" · 245 lb · USA
Pick #27, 2015 Draft · Rookie 2016 · 581 games · 32 playoff games
DPM · #453 of 530
-2.2Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.56
- -0.63 before the first game, -2.19 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.23
- Jan 30 vs PHX · 10 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.21
- Oct 27 vs DET · 18 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 18 games, vs 0.10 in the first 18. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.2 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 328th of 406 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: James Posey, 2009-10.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey 2009-10 | 33 | -1.6 | -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Wilson Chandler 2019-20 | 32 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Rodney Rogers 2004-05 | 33 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Eric Williams 2005-06 | 33 | -2.3 | -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| DeMarre Carroll 2019-20 | 34 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Tom Gugliotta 2002-03 | 33 | -1.9 | -2.2, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| James Jones 2012-13 | 32 | -1.8 | -0.4, -2.3, -3.0, -4.4, under 10 games | 81 |
| Bryon Russell 2003-04 | 33 | -1.1 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Garrett Temple 2018-19 | 32 | -1.6 | -1.6, -1.1, -3.8, -3.8, -2.8 | 80 |
| Lamond Murray 2005-06 | 33 | -2.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Larry's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Larry Nance Jr.'s seasons, at the same age.
- De'Anthony Melton GSW like his 2020-21 85
- Naz Reid MIN like his 2019-20 84
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Larry Nance Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 33 | 35 +2 | 12.8 | -2.19 | -3.01 | +0.82 | 328th of 406 |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 32 | 24 | 19.3 | -0.66 | -1.09 | +0.43 | 264th of 530 |
| 2023-24 | NOP | 31 | 61 +4 | 19.9 | +1.53 | -0.50 | +2.03 | 109th of 616 |
| 2022-23 | NOP | 30 | 65 | 21.2 | +2.27 | +0.41 | +1.86 | 77th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | NOP | 29 | 46 +6 | 22.6 | +1.16 | -0.22 | +1.39 | 172nd of 774 |
| 2020-21 | CLE | 28 | 35 | 31.2 | +0.86 | -0.48 | +1.34 | 222nd of 858 |
| 2019-20 | CLE | 27 | 56 | 26.3 | +1.02 | +0.29 | +0.73 | 211th of 924 |
| 2018-19 | CLE | 26 | 67 | 26.8 | +0.84 | -0.16 | +1.00 | 234th of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | CLE | 25 | 66 +20 | 21.5 | +1.98 | +0.31 | +1.67 | 114th of 1078 |
| 2016-17 | LAL | 24 | 63 | 22.9 | +0.59 | -0.53 | +1.11 | 235th of 1185 |
| 2015-16 | LAL | 23 | 63 | 20.1 | +0.68 | -0.56 | +1.24 | 190th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Larry Nance Jr. right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13.4 | — |
| Rebounds | 11.3 | — |
| Offensive | 3.6 | — |
| Defensive | 7.7 | — |
| Assists | 2.9 | — |
| Steals | 2.1 | — |
| Blocks | 0.9 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.6 | — |
| FG attempts | 12.1 | — |
| FT attempts | 2.4 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.7% · 32.7% · 63.3% | |