Aaron Nesmith Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -1.33; +1.27 before the first game, -0.06 at the end
Biggest boost: +0.23; Oct 26 vs MIN · 35 min
Biggest drop: -0.55; Oct 29 vs DAL · 37 min
Typical change per game: 0.11; Last 20 games, vs 0.13 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

-0.1 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 407th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Josh Richardson, 2019-20.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Josh Richardson 2019-20	26	-0.2	-1.4, -0.2, -0.5, -2.6, under 10 games	92
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2018-19	26	-0.5	-0.2, +0.4, -1.4, +1.6, +1.9	90
Kyle Korver 2006-07	26	0.0	+0.7, +1.1, +1.4, +0.6, +1.5	89
Chase Budinger 2013-14	25	-0.5	-0.8, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	88
Evan Fournier 2018-19	26	-0.2	+0.1, +0.3, -0.9, -1.5, -2.4	88
Jeremy Lamb 2017-18	25	+0.3	+0.8, 0.0, +0.5, +0.2, under 10 games	88
Voshon Lenard 1999-00	26	-0.1	-1.0, -1.6, -1.7, -0.6, under 10 games	87
Allen Crabbe 2018-19	27	+0.2	-1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	87
Matt Carroll 2006-07	26	-0.4	-1.0, -2.7, -2.8, -1.7, -2.0	87
Terrence Ross 2017-18	27	+0.1	+0.2, 0.0, -1.5, -3.5, -2.4	87

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Aaron's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Aaron Nesmith's seasons, at the same age.

Zaccharie Risacher ATL like his 2020-21 90
Tyler Smith DAL like his 2020-21 83

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Aaron Nesmith's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $13.8M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $11.0M; Actual
Surplus: +$2.8M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 1.0; Projected
Retires at: 27.8; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Aaron Nesmith, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	IND	26	45	29.7	-0.06	+0.11	-0.17	407th of 1010
2024-25	IND	25	45 +23	25.0	+1.12	+1.03	+0.09	180th of 1078
2023-24	IND	24	73 +17	27.7	-0.09	+0.09	-0.18	356th of 1185
2022-23	IND	23	73	24.9	-1.25	-0.72	-0.53	603rd of 1100
2021-22	BOS	22	52 +14	11.0	-1.25	-1.06	-0.19	455th of 813
2020-21	BOS	21	46 +5	14.5	-2.26	-1.51	-0.74	455th of 571

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 30.3 projected minutes and a pace of 95.3.

Aaron Nesmith, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	22.0	13.2
Rebounds	7.1	4.2
Offensive	1.5	0.9
Defensive	5.5	3.3
Assists	2.8	1.7
Steals	1.2	0.7
Blocks	0.8	0.5
Turnovers	2.1	1.3
3-pt attempts	9.9	6.0
FG attempts	19.2	11.6
FT attempts	4.4	2.7
FG% · 3P% · FT%	42.6% · 36.9% · 81.6%