Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Green 2015-16 | 30 | -0.6 | -1.2, -1.4, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Tony Delk 2003-04 | 30 | -0.7 | -0.8, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Wilson Chandler 2017-18 | 30 | -0.4 | -0.6, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Keith Van Horn 2005-06 | 30 | -0.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Maurice Evans 2008-09 | 30 | -1.2 | -2.6, -3.4, -3.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| James Ennis III 2019-20 | 30 | -0.7 | -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Rasual Butler 2009-10 | 30 | -1.0 | -2.0, -2.8, under 10 games, -3.1, -3.0 | 88 |
| Gordan Giricek 2007-08 | 30 | -1.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| E'Twaun Moore 2019-20 | 31 | -0.6 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Morris Peterson 2007-08 | 30 | -0.2 | -0.3, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kelly's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Kelly Oubre Jr.'s current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -0.8DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:20.6points7.6rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:21.7points7.1rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A91.5
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:25.4points7.7rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A88.5
- -1.0DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:20.6points11.0rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A88.3
- -1.0DPMDPM Offense -0.1 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:18.1points5.9rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A87.7
- -0.3DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:21.6points8.0rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A87.5
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.8 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:20.1points8.9rebounds2.0assistsP/R/A86.5
- -0.6DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:28.7points6.4rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A86.4
- -0.7DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:20.9points7.2rebounds3.1assistsP/R/A86.1
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:22.2points5.4rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A85.8
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kelly Oubre Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $8.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $8.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.1M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 1.2
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 1.0
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 32.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | IND | 30 | 7 | 23.2 | -0.84 | -0.19 | -0.65 | — |
| 2025-26 | PHI | 30 | 50 +11 | 31.5 | -0.29 | -0.02 | -0.27 | 356th of 697 |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 29 | 60 | 34.6 | -1.18 | -0.76 | -0.42 | 542nd of 774 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 28 | 68 +6 | 30.2 | -0.81 | -0.35 | -0.46 | 544th of 858 |
| 2022-23 | CHA | 27 | 48 | 32.2 | -1.25 | -0.11 | -1.14 | 674th of 924 |
| 2021-22 | CHA | 26 | 76 | 26.3 | -0.82 | +0.56 | -1.38 | 613th of 1010 |
| 2020-21 | GSW | 25 | 55 | 30.7 | -2.02 | -1.34 | -0.67 | 900th of 1077 |
| 2019-20 | PHX | 24 | 56 | 34.5 | -0.22 | +0.40 | -0.62 | 422nd of 1185 |
| 2018-19 | PHX | 23 | 69 | 28.0 | -0.92 | -0.08 | -0.85 | 541st of 1100 |
| 2017-18 | WAS | 22 | 81 +6 | 27.5 | -0.94 | -0.37 | -0.56 | 397th of 813 |
| 2016-17 | WAS | 21 | 79 +12 | 20.3 | -0.85 | -0.60 | -0.25 | 218th of 571 |
| 2015-16 | WAS | 20 | 63 | 10.7 | -2.35 | -1.81 | -0.54 | 269th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 15.0 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 99.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.6 | 6.4 |
| Rebounds | 7.6 | 2.4 |
| Offensive | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 5.7 | 1.8 |
| Assists | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.9 | 2.5 |
| FG attempts | 16.4 | 5.1 |
| FT attempts | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 45.7% · 34.3% · 76.6% | |









