Damian Lillard

Portland Trail Blazers · G

Age 36 · 6'3" · 195 lb · USA

Pick #6, 2012 Draft · Rookie 2013 · 911 games · 68 playoff games

DPM · #140 of 523

+0.6

Offense +2.1 Defense -1.6 Market +3.3 · playoffs +3.7 Last played Nov 11, 2026

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Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Chauncey Billups 2011-12	35	+0.4	-0.3, -3.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	88
Sam Cassell 2005-06	36	+0.5	-0.3, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	83
Reggie Miller 2001-02	36	+0.8	+0.9, +1.2, +1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games	80
Ray Allen 2010-11	35	+1.3	+0.3, +0.1, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games	79
JJ Redick 2019-20	36	-0.5	-1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	79
Mitch Richmond 2000-01	35	-0.3	-1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	78
Terry Porter 1998-99	36	+0.8	+2.0, +1.5, +1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games	77
J.J. Barea 2019-20	36	-0.2	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	77
Gary Payton 2003-04	35	+0.8	+0.1, -0.8, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games	77
Joe Dumars 1998-99	35	+0.2	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	76

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Damian's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Damian Lillard's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Damian Lillard POR Self

+0.6DPMDPM Offense +2.1 Defense -1.6 Per 100 possessions:32.4points5.5rebounds7.3assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Norman Powell CHI ↗

0.0DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense -1.3 Per 100 possessions:30.5points5.0rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A
81.2
3 CJ McCollum ATL ↗

+0.5DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:27.3points5.8rebounds6.5assistsP/R/A
80.2
4 Jrue Holiday POR ↗

+1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.5 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:23.0points6.9rebounds8.5assistsP/R/A
77.3
5 Pascal Siakam IND ↗

+1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:31.9points9.4rebounds6.1assistsP/R/A
77.1
6 Grayson Allen CHA ↗

+0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.8 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:27.1points5.5rebounds6.4assistsP/R/A
75.2
7 James Harden CLE ↗

+2.1DPMDPM Offense +2.7 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:27.5points6.9rebounds9.0assistsP/R/A
74.5
8 Julius Randle BKN ↗

+0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:29.0points9.8rebounds7.5assistsP/R/A
74.4
9 Duncan Robinson DET ↗

+0.7DPMDPM Offense +1.0 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:24.0points4.5rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A
73.0
10 Kyrie Irving DAL ↗

+2.2DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:33.9points5.7rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A
72.9

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Damian Lillard's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $22.9M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $35.9M; Actual
Surplus: -$13.0M; Value minus salary
WARP: 4.8; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 2.1; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 38.8; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Damian Lillard, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	POR	36	11	29.1	+0.66	+2.16	-1.49	—
2025-26	POR	35	0	—	+0.32	+1.12	-0.80	—
2024-25	MIL	34	58 +3	36.1	+2.26	+3.80	-1.55	38th of 337
2023-24	MIL	33	73 +4	35.3	+2.75	+3.79	-1.04	31st of 405
2022-23	POR	32	58	36.3	+4.28	+5.73	-1.45	18th of 530
2021-22	POR	31	29	36.4	+4.08	+5.27	-1.20	29th of 616
2020-21	POR	30	67 +6	35.8	+4.45	+5.82	-1.37	25th of 697
2019-20	POR	30	66 +4	37.5	+3.98	+5.67	-1.69	31st of 697
2018-19	POR	28	80 +16	35.5	+4.21	+5.41	-1.20	28th of 858
2017-18	POR	27	73 +4	36.6	+4.11	+5.65	-1.54	32nd of 924
2016-17	POR	26	75 +4	35.9	+3.37	+4.97	-1.60	49th of 1010
2015-16	POR	25	75 +11	35.7	+3.31	+4.80	-1.49	47th of 1077
2014-15	POR	24	82 +5	35.7	+2.58	+3.84	-1.26	70th of 1185
2013-14	POR	23	82 +11	35.8	+1.45	+3.06	-1.62	120th of 1100
2012-13	POR	22	82	38.6	+0.03	+2.42	-2.38	219th of 813

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 28.0 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.7.

Damian Lillard, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	32.4	18.7
Rebounds	5.5	3.2
Offensive	0.7	0.4
Defensive	4.8	2.8
Assists	7.3	4.2
Steals	1.5	0.8
Blocks	0.4	0.2
Turnovers	3.3	1.9
3-pt attempts	13.0	7.5
FG attempts	22.3	12.8
FT attempts	9.4	5.4
FG% · 3P% · FT%	42.0% · 36.6% · 90.4%