Damian Lillard
Age 36 · 6'3" · 195 lb · USA
Pick #6, 2012 Draft · Rookie 2013 · 901 games · 68 playoff games
DPM · #188 of 530
0.0Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.89
- +2.52 before the first game, +1.63 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.27
- Jan 14 vs SAC · 35 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.40
- Dec 31 vs IND · 36 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Barea 2019-20 | 36 | -0.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Dwyane Wade 2016-17 | 35 | -0.1 | -1.0, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Goran Dragic 2020-21 | 35 | -0.9 | -1.7, -3.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Joe Johnson 2016-17 | 35 | -0.4 | -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Sam Cassell 2005-06 | 36 | +0.6 | -1.0, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Chauncey Billups 2011-12 | 35 | +0.2 | -0.8, -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Devin Harris 2017-18 | 35 | -0.3 | -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Darrell Armstrong 2003-04 | 35 | +0.2 | -1.5, -2.6, -0.5, -2.6, under 10 games | 83 |
| Gary Payton 2003-04 | 35 | +0.5 | +0.2, -1.0, -2.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Bobby Jackson 2007-08 | 35 | 0.0 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Damian's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Damian Lillard's seasons, at the same age.
- Tyrese Maxey PHI like his 2014-15 85
- Donovan Mitchell CLE like his 2019-20 83
- Jalen Brunson NYK like his 2019-20 78
- LaMelo Ball CHA like his 2014-15 77
- Jayson Tatum BOS like his 2018-19 76
- Luka Doncic LAL like his 2017-18 71
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Damian Lillard's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $7.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $36.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$29.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 36.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | POR | 35 | 0 | — | -0.04 | +0.64 | -0.68 | — |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 34 | 59 +3 | 36.1 | +1.63 | +3.17 | -1.54 | 51st of 336 |
| 2023-24 | MIL | 33 | 73 +4 | 35.3 | +2.63 | +3.76 | -1.13 | 28th of 406 |
| 2022-23 | POR | 32 | 58 | 36.3 | +4.52 | +5.98 | -1.46 | 15th of 530 |
| 2021-22 | POR | 31 | 29 | 36.4 | +4.32 | +5.43 | -1.11 | 21st of 616 |
| 2020-21 | POR | 30 | 67 +6 | 35.8 | +3.96 | +5.59 | -1.63 | 29th of 697 |
| 2019-20 | POR | 30 | 66 +4 | 37.5 | +4.34 | +5.95 | -1.61 | 25th of 697 |
| 2018-19 | POR | 28 | 80 +16 | 35.5 | +4.38 | +5.34 | -0.96 | 26th of 858 |
| 2017-18 | POR | 27 | 73 +4 | 36.6 | +3.91 | +5.37 | -1.46 | 31st of 924 |
| 2016-17 | POR | 26 | 75 +4 | 35.9 | +3.61 | +5.10 | -1.49 | 37th of 1010 |
| 2015-16 | POR | 25 | 75 +11 | 35.7 | +2.52 | +4.10 | -1.58 | 73rd of 1078 |
| 2014-15 | POR | 24 | 82 +5 | 35.7 | +2.18 | +3.28 | -1.10 | 83rd of 1185 |
| 2013-14 | POR | 23 | 82 +11 | 35.8 | +1.43 | +3.11 | -1.68 | 112th of 1100 |
| 2012-13 | POR | 22 | 82 | 38.6 | +0.17 | +2.46 | -2.29 | 186th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.6 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.2 | 9.8 |
| Rebounds | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 5.5 | 2.2 |
| Assists | 6.8 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.4 | 4.2 |
| FG attempts | 19.2 | 7.7 |
| FT attempts | 6.0 | 2.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.5% · 34.8% · 90.7% | |