Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.28
- +0.58 before the first game, +0.30 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.20
- Jan 13 vs MIA · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.27
- Dec 10 vs OKC · 22 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.3 at age 30 in 2025-26 ranks 262nd of 697 age-30 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Reggie Jackson, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Jackson 2019-20 | 30 | +0.3 | +1.0, -0.3, -2.5, -3.3, -3.4 | 90 |
| Seth Curry 2020-21 | 30 | +0.2 | +0.2, -1.6, -1.9, -1.6, -1.5 | 88 |
| Stephen Jackson 2007-08 | 30 | -0.1 | -0.3, +0.5, -0.4, -0.6, -1.2 | 87 |
| Carlos Delfino 2012-13 | 30 | +0.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Patty Mills 2018-19 | 30 | +0.7 | +1.2, -0.3, -0.9, -2.1, -1.6 | 87 |
| CJ Miles 2017-18 | 31 | +0.6 | -0.3, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Bojan Bogdanovic 2019-20 | 30 | +0.4 | -0.1, -0.2, -1.9, -2.8, under 10 games | 87 |
| Wesley Matthews 2016-17 | 30 | -0.4 | -1.3, -1.1, -0.3, -0.7, -0.6 | 86 |
| Will Barton 2020-21 | 30 | -0.1 | 0.0, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jason Richardson 2011-12 | 31 | +0.6 | +0.2, under 10 games, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Grayson's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Grayson Allen's seasons, at the same age.
- Ron Harper Jr. BOS like his 2020-21 88
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Grayson Allen's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $9.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $16.9M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$7.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHX | 30 | 51 +2 | 28.8 | +0.30 | +0.96 | -0.66 | 262nd of 697 |
| 2024-25 | PHX | 29 | 64 | 24.1 | +0.39 | +1.04 | -0.66 | 272nd of 774 |
| 2023-24 | PHX | 28 | 75 +2 | 33.5 | +0.92 | +0.85 | +0.06 | 209th of 858 |
| 2022-23 | MIL | 27 | 72 +5 | 27.4 | +0.37 | +0.31 | +0.05 | 309th of 924 |
| 2021-22 | MIL | 26 | 66 +12 | 27.3 | -0.13 | -0.07 | -0.07 | 429th of 1010 |
| 2020-21 | MEM | 25 | 50 +5 | 25.2 | -0.34 | +0.26 | -0.60 | 438th of 1078 |
| 2019-20 | MEM | 24 | 38 | 18.9 | -1.58 | -0.19 | -1.38 | 802nd of 1185 |
| 2018-19 | UTA | 23 | 38 +2 | 10.9 | -2.53 | -0.69 | -1.85 | 961st of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 14.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.6 | 6.6 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 1.7 |
| Offensive | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Assists | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 14.0 | 4.1 |
| FG attempts | 19.9 | 5.8 |
| FT attempts | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.8% · 37.6% · 81.5% | |
