Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.94
- +3.48 before the first game, +2.54 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.26
- Dec 28 vs POR · 39 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.50
- Oct 24 vs SAS · 27 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter 2010-11 | 34 | +0.7 | +1.4, +1.9, +1.3, -1.3, -2.0 | 85 |
| Dwyane Wade 2015-16 | 34 | +1.4 | -0.1, -1.0, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Goran Dragic 2019-20 | 34 | +1.0 | -0.9, -1.7, -3.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Joe Johnson 2014-15 | 33 | +0.8 | +0.9, -0.4, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Sam Cassell 2002-03 | 33 | +0.6 | +2.1, +1.5, +0.6, -1.0, -2.4 | 80 |
| Tim Hardaway 2000-01 | 34 | +0.8 | -1.9, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Grant Hill 2005-06 | 33 | +0.9 | +0.3, +0.6, +0.6, -1.4, -1.1 | 79 |
| Gary Payton 2002-03 | 34 | +1.1 | +0.5, +0.2, -1.0, -2.6, under 10 games | 79 |
| Bobby Jackson 2006-07 | 34 | 0.0 | 0.0, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
| Allen Iverson 2008-09 | 33 | -0.6 | -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kyrie's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Kyrie Irving's seasons, at the same age.
- Jalen Brunson NYK like his 2020-21 89
- Jamal Murray DEN like his 2020-21 88
- Donovan Mitchell CLE like his 2020-21 84
- Jaylen Brown BOS like his 2020-21 77
- Luka Doncic LAL like his 2018-19 72
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kyrie Irving's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $36.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$23.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 34 | 0 | — | +0.49 | +1.31 | -0.82 | — |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 33 | 50 | 36.1 | +2.54 | +3.30 | -0.76 | 29th of 406 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 32 | 58 +22 | 35.0 | +3.61 | +3.82 | -0.21 | 24th of 530 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 31 | 60 | 37.3 | +3.75 | +4.20 | -0.45 | 29th of 616 |
| 2021-22 | BKN | 30 | 29 +4 | 37.6 | +3.79 | +4.25 | -0.46 | 32nd of 697 |
| 2020-21 | BKN | 29 | 54 +9 | 34.9 | +3.61 | +4.41 | -0.80 | 37th of 774 |
| 2019-20 | BKN | 27 | 20 | 32.9 | +2.87 | +3.68 | -0.81 | 71st of 924 |
| 2018-19 | BOS | 27 | 67 +9 | 33.0 | +3.86 | +3.96 | -0.10 | 32nd of 924 |
| 2017-18 | BOS | 26 | 60 | 32.2 | +3.19 | +4.37 | -1.19 | 49th of 1010 |
| 2016-17 | CLE | 25 | 72 +18 | 35.1 | +2.77 | +4.36 | -1.59 | 62nd of 1078 |
| 2015-16 | CLE | 24 | 53 +21 | 31.5 | +2.21 | +3.83 | -1.62 | 80th of 1185 |
| 2014-15 | CLE | 23 | 75 +13 | 36.4 | +2.52 | +3.58 | -1.06 | 37th of 1100 |
| 2013-14 | CLE | 22 | 71 | 35.1 | +0.78 | +1.89 | -1.11 | 111th of 813 |
| 2012-13 | CLE | 21 | 59 | 34.7 | +1.14 | +2.63 | -1.49 | 40th of 571 |
| 2011-12 | CLE | 20 | 51 | 30.5 | +2.28 | +3.88 | -1.61 | 4th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 21.7 projected minutes and a pace of 93.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 26.0 | 11.0 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 2.8 |
| Offensive | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| Assists | 5.8 | 2.5 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.9 | 4.2 |
| FG attempts | 22.7 | 9.6 |
| FT attempts | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.0% · 35.0% · 89.9% | |
