Duncan Robinson Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: +2.48; -1.51 before the first game, +0.97 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.33; Nov 12 vs CHI · 28 min
Biggest drop: -0.35; Oct 22 vs CHI · 32 min
Typical change per game: 0.06; Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+1.0 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 125th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jaren Jackson, 1998-99.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Jaren Jackson 1998-99	31	+0.7	-0.5, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Wayne Ellington 2018-19	31	+0.1	-0.5, -0.8, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Mike Miller 2011-12	32	+0.1	-0.2, -0.8, -2.9, -3.7, -3.9	84
Francisco Garcia 2012-13	31	+0.3	-0.8, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	82
Tim Thomas 2008-09	32	+0.3	-1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	82
Patty Mills 2019-20	32	+1.2	-0.3, -0.9, -2.1, -1.6, -2.4	81
Rick Fox 2000-01	31	+1.2	0.0, -0.1, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games	81
Nicolas Batum 2020-21	32	+1.5	+0.6, -0.1, -1.0, -0.6, -1.6	81
Mike Dunleavy 2012-13	32	+0.7	+0.9, +0.6, -0.5, -2.6, under 10 games	81
Marvin Williams 2017-18	31	+0.8	+0.2, +0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	81

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Duncan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Duncan Robinson's seasons, at the same age.

Isaiah Joe OKC like his 2020-21 86

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Duncan Robinson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $22.0M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $16.8M; Actual
Surplus: +$5.1M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 2.3; Projected
Retires at: 34.5; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Duncan Robinson, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	DET	32	77 +13	27.4	+0.97	+0.96	+0.01	125th of 530
2024-25	MIA	31	74 +4	24.1	-1.21	-0.60	-0.61	403rd of 616
2023-24	MIA	30	68 +5	28.0	-0.76	-0.22	-0.54	416th of 697
2022-23	MIA	29	42 +23	16.5	-0.18	+0.67	-0.84	369th of 774
2021-22	MIA	28	79 +13	25.9	+0.11	+0.43	-0.32	353rd of 858
2020-21	MIA	27	72 +4	31.4	+0.77	+0.80	-0.03	242nd of 924
2019-20	MIA	26	73 +21	29.7	+0.82	+1.22	-0.40	238th of 1010
2018-19	MIA	24	15	10.7	-2.02	-1.42	-0.61	—

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

Loading percentile context...

Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 15.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.

Duncan Robinson, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	19.5	5.8
Rebounds	5.0	1.5
Offensive	0.8	0.2
Defensive	4.2	1.3
Assists	3.2	1.0
Steals	1.2	0.4
Blocks	0.4	0.1
Turnovers	1.9	0.6
3-pt attempts	12.4	3.7
FG attempts	15.3	4.6
FT attempts	2.9	0.9
FG% · 3P% · FT%	40.6% · 37.5% · 75.4%