Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.24
- +0.77 before the first game, +0.53 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.35
- Feb 21 vs MEM · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.22
- Mar 17 vs CHA · 31 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.5 at age 32 in 2025-26 ranks 160th of 530 age-32 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bobby Jackson, 2004-05.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Jackson 2004-05 | 32 | +0.4 | +0.8, 0.0, 0.0, -1.6, under 10 games | 89 |
| Bojan Bogdanovic 2020-21 | 32 | -0.1 | -0.2, -1.9, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| JJ Redick 2016-17 | 32 | +0.7 | +0.9, 0.0, -1.1, -2.2, under 10 games | 85 |
| Peja Stojakovic 2009-10 | 32 | +0.3 | -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Derrick Rose 2020-21 | 32 | +0.6 | +0.2, -1.9, -2.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Carmelo Anthony 2016-17 | 32 | +0.1 | +0.1, -2.0, -1.6, -2.4, -2.5 | 82 |
| Eric Piatkowski 2002-03 | 32 | -0.1 | -0.6, -1.1, -1.6, -3.2, -3.9 | 82 |
| Michael Finley 2004-05 | 32 | +0.7 | -0.5, -1.0, -1.6, -1.7, -2.2 | 82 |
| Caron Butler 2011-12 | 32 | +0.2 | -0.4, -2.0, -1.9, -2.7, under 10 games | 82 |
| Devin Harris 2014-15 | 32 | +1.0 | -0.3, -0.1, -0.3, -1.5, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Norman's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Norman Powell's seasons, at the same age.
- Desmond Bane ORL like his 2020-21 88
- Isaac Okoro CHI like his 2017-18 88
- Miles Bridges CHA like his 2020-21 88
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL like his 2020-21 87
- Moses Moody GSW like his 2016-17 86
- A.J. Green MIL like his 2018-19 85
- Anthony Black ORL like his 2015-16 85
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Norman Powell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $18.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $20.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 32 | 58 | 29.6 | +0.53 | +1.41 | -0.88 | 160th of 530 |
| 2024-25 | LAC | 31 | 60 +7 | 32.6 | +1.14 | +1.29 | -0.15 | 133rd of 616 |
| 2023-24 | LAC | 30 | 76 +6 | 26.2 | -0.66 | +0.47 | -1.13 | 400th of 697 |
| 2022-23 | LAC | 29 | 60 +5 | 26.1 | -1.58 | -0.34 | -1.24 | 598th of 774 |
| 2021-22 | LAC | 28 | 45 | 32.4 | -0.18 | +0.81 | -1.00 | 400th of 858 |
| 2020-21 | POR | 28 | 69 +6 | 32.0 | +0.64 | +1.23 | -0.59 | 264th of 858 |
| 2019-20 | TOR | 27 | 52 +11 | 28.4 | +0.74 | +0.63 | +0.11 | 251st of 924 |
| 2018-19 | TOR | 26 | 60 +23 | 18.8 | -0.69 | -0.51 | -0.18 | 552nd of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | TOR | 24 | 70 +6 | 15.2 | -1.60 | -1.06 | -0.53 | 810th of 1185 |
| 2016-17 | TOR | 23 | 76 +9 | 18.0 | +0.10 | +0.17 | -0.07 | 279th of 1100 |
| 2015-16 | TOR | 23 | 49 +18 | 14.8 | +0.02 | -0.43 | +0.45 | 298th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 19.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.2 | 10.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 2.1 |
| Offensive | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.0 | 4.2 |
| FG attempts | 22.2 | 8.5 |
| FT attempts | 7.7 | 3.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.9% · 35.7% · 78.9% | |
