Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Armstrong 2003-04 | 35 | +0.6 | -1.3, -2.3, -1.2, -2.6, under 10 games | 85 |
| Gary Payton 2003-04 | 35 | +0.8 | 0.0, -0.8, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Sam Cassell 2005-06 | 36 | +0.5 | -0.3, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Toni Kukoc 2003-04 | 35 | +1.5 | +0.7, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Jon Barry 2004-05 | 35 | +1.4 | -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Vince Carter 2012-13 | 36 | +2.0 | +1.5, -1.1, -1.8, -0.6, -2.1 | 81 |
| Scottie Pippen 2001-02 | 36 | +0.7 | +1.7, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| J.J. Barea 2019-20 | 36 | -0.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Terry Porter 1998-99 | 36 | +0.9 | +1.9, +1.6, +1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Ray Allen 2011-12 | 36 | +0.4 | +0.2, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jrue's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Jrue Holiday's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +1.0DPMDPM Offense +0.9 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:22.4points7.1rebounds8.7assistsP/R/A100.0
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense +1.4 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:29.3points5.6rebounds6.0assistsP/R/A85.4
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense +1.7 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:32.1points5.6rebounds8.0assistsP/R/A80.9
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:27.3points7.6rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A79.6
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +2.1 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:30.3points6.1rebounds6.2assistsP/R/A79.4
- +0.6DPMDPM Offense +0.6 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:22.6points4.8rebounds4.2assistsP/R/A79.0
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:18.2points11.6rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A78.0
- +1.1DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:23.1points9.3rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A77.9
- +1.5DPMDPM Offense +0.3 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:19.0points5.0rebounds9.5assistsP/R/A77.0
- +0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:18.0points5.5rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A76.8
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jrue Holiday's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $28.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $32.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$4.4M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 4.3
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.9
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 39.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | POR | 36 | 1 | 20.6 | +0.95 | +0.93 | +0.02 | — |
| 2025-26 | POR | 35 | 53 +5 | 29.4 | +1.20 | +1.19 | +0.01 | 51st of 243 |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 34 | 62 +8 | 30.6 | +1.13 | +0.63 | +0.49 | 73rd of 337 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 34 | 69 +19 | 32.8 | +1.93 | +1.22 | +0.71 | 46th of 337 |
| 2022-23 | MIL | 32 | 67 +5 | 32.6 | +5.07 | +3.53 | +1.54 | 12th of 530 |
| 2021-22 | MIL | 31 | 67 +12 | 32.9 | +4.00 | +2.90 | +1.10 | 30th of 616 |
| 2020-21 | MIL | 31 | 59 +23 | 32.3 | +3.81 | +2.65 | +1.15 | 33rd of 616 |
| 2019-20 | NOP | 30 | 61 | 34.7 | +3.31 | +2.38 | +0.93 | 44th of 697 |
| 2018-19 | NOP | 28 | 67 | 35.8 | +4.37 | +3.02 | +1.35 | 26th of 858 |
| 2017-18 | NOP | 27 | 81 +9 | 36.1 | +3.54 | +2.20 | +1.35 | 50th of 924 |
| 2016-17 | NOP | 26 | 67 | 32.7 | +2.71 | +1.29 | +1.42 | 80th of 1010 |
| 2015-16 | NOP | 25 | 65 | 28.2 | +2.72 | +2.26 | +0.46 | 67th of 1077 |
| 2014-15 | NOP | 24 | 40 +3 | 32.6 | +2.29 | +1.72 | +0.57 | 80th of 1185 |
| 2013-14 | NOP | 23 | 34 | 33.6 | +1.16 | +1.16 | 0.00 | 145th of 1100 |
| 2012-13 | PHI | 22 | 78 | 37.5 | +0.33 | +0.34 | -0.01 | 173rd of 813 |
| 2011-12 | PHI | 21 | 65 +13 | 33.8 | +1.17 | +0.68 | +0.48 | 37th of 571 |
| 2010-11 | PHI | 20 | 82 +5 | 35.4 | +1.23 | +0.91 | +0.32 | 15th of 354 |
| 2009-10 | PHI | 19 | 73 | 24.2 | -0.98 | -0.53 | -0.46 | 35th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.0 projected minutes and a pace of 99.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.4 | 10.3 |
| Rebounds | 7.1 | 3.3 |
| Offensive | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 5.2 | 2.4 |
| Assists | 8.7 | 4.0 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.4 | 4.8 |
| FG attempts | 19.5 | 9.0 |
| FT attempts | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.6% · 36.2% · 83.6% | |









