Eastern Conference
Washington Wizards
Record 4-5Projected 33.7-48.3Playoffs 21.8%Win conference 0.3%Win Finals 0.1%Lottery 78.2%Expected pick 9.5SRS -3.11
DARKO rating · #25 of 30
-3.0Worth about 28 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 6, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +2.26; the ones below take away 5.24.
- Anthony Davis Offense+0.15 Defense+0.75 Net+0.89
- Trae Young Offense+1.88 Defense-1.00 Net+0.88
- Justin Champagnie Offense+0.17 Defense+0.05 Net+0.22
- Deandre Ayton Offense-0.08 Defense+0.25 Net+0.17
- Tristan Vukcevic Offense+0.06 Defense+0.04 Net+0.10
- Jamir Watkins Offense-0.20 Defense+0.16 Net-0.04
- Anthony Gill Offense-0.17 Defense-0.04 Net-0.21
- Tre Mann Offense-0.17 Defense-0.06 Net-0.23
- Will Riley Offense-0.09 Defense-0.17 Net-0.27
- Kyshawn George Offense-0.27 Defense-0.12 Net-0.39
- Alexandre Sarr Offense-0.49 Defense-0.10 Net-0.59
- Bilal Coulibaly Offense-0.46 Defense-0.21 Net-0.67
- Tre Johnson Offense-0.33 Defense-0.61 Net-0.94
- Carlton Carrington Offense-0.42 Defense-0.52 Net-0.95
- AJ Dybantsa Offense-0.58 Defense-0.38 Net-0.96
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| AJ Dybantsa | F | -1.8 | -1.1 | -0.7 | $10.5M | -1.8 | -1.9 | 29.4 | 98.5 | 25.8 | 3.9 | 45.8% | 32.4% | 76.7% |
| Alexandre Sarr | C | -1.3 | -1.1 | -0.2 | $3.7M | -0.2 | -2.6 | 25.4 | 100.0 | 23.2 | 4.0 | 47.6% | 33.6% | 73.2% |
| Anthony Davis | F-C | +1.7 | +0.3 | +1.4 | $37.9M | +1.0 | +1.7 | 29.8 | 98.5 | 32.3 | 3.9 | 51.2% | 31.3% | 77.1% |
| Anthony Gill | F | -2.0 | -1.6 | -0.3 | $0.3M | -1.8 | -2.3 | 5.9 | 99.1 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 54.9% | 31.6% | 69.7% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | G | -1.7 | -1.1 | -0.5 | $2.5M | +0.8 | -3.1 | 22.5 | 98.9 | 19.5 | 3.6 | 45.5% | 33.2% | 75.6% |
| Carlton Carrington | G | -3.4 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -$8.9M | -2.4 | -4.2 | 15.5 | 99.1 | 18.9 | 7.3 | 41.1% | 36.9% | 79.0% |
| Deandre Ayton | F-C | +0.6 | -0.3 | +0.9 | $13.5M | +2.1 | +0.2 | 15.7 | 97.4 | 18.5 | 2.8 | 65.3% | 22.2% | 66.5% |
| Felix Okpara | C | -3.5 | -3.2 | -0.2 | -$3.8M | -3.5 | -2.2 | 2.6 | 98.2 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 53.4% | 29.7% | 66.9% |
| Jamir Watkins | F | -0.1 | -0.6 | +0.5 | $10.5M | -0.1 | -0.1 | 17.8 | 99.4 | 18.4 | 3.3 | 43.7% | 33.1% | 72.6% |
| Justin Champagnie | G-F | +1.1 | +0.8 | +0.2 | $20.7M | +2.2 | -0.2 | 11.8 | 99.5 | 21.1 | 2.8 | 48.6% | 34.0% | 76.1% |
| Khris Middleton | F-G | -2.1 | -1.4 | -0.6 | -$0.1M | -3.3 | -1.9 | 4.5 | 98.7 | 18.8 | 4.9 | 43.0% | 37.1% | 84.4% |
| Kyshawn George | F | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.2 | $7.9M | +0.3 | -1.7 | 32.1 | 98.9 | 25.7 | 7.2 | 44.8% | 35.7% | 81.0% |
| Reece Beekman | G | -2.3 | -2.3 | +0.0 | -$1.3M | -2.3 | -2.7 | 4.2 | 98.4 | 12.4 | 7.3 | 41.7% | 32.4% | 77.1% |
| Trae Young | G | +1.5 | +3.3 | -1.7 | $36.7M | +1.5 | +1.5 | 32.3 | 99.2 | 27.1 | 12.7 | 41.6% | 35.2% | 86.0% |
| Tre Johnson | G | -2.8 | -1.0 | -1.8 | -$4.2M | -2.9 | -2.7 | 18.8 | 99.3 | 24.9 | 3.5 | 42.0% | 36.8% | 84.6% |
| Tre Mann | G | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.6 | -$0.8M | -1.2 | -3.6 | 5.2 | 98.2 | 21.8 | 6.9 | 40.9% | 35.5% | 82.4% |
| Tristan Vukcevic | F | +0.4 | +0.3 | +0.2 | $11.8M | +1.6 | -2.9 | 13.0 | 99.5 | 29.1 | 3.8 | 46.5% | 34.5% | 79.1% |
| Will Riley | F | -2.3 | -0.8 | -1.5 | -$1.1M | -1.5 | -3.9 | 6.6 | 99.4 | 23.0 | 4.3 | 44.4% | 33.9% | 81.5% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 28 | +1.5 | 6.0 | 88% |
| Kyshawn George | 22 | -0.7 | 7.0 | 90% |
| Anthony Davis | 33 | +1.7 | 3.2 | 56% |
| AJ Dybantsa | 19 | -1.8 | 8.8 | 97% |
| Alexandre Sarr | 21 | -1.3 | 8.6 | 98% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 22 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 79% |
| Tre Johnson | 20 | -2.8 | 6.5 | 88% |
| Jamir Watkins | 25 | -0.1 | 1.8 | 27% |
| Deandre Ayton | 28 | +0.6 | 3.1 | 52% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$196.9M of salary for $155.9M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Anthony Davis : salary $58.5M, DARKO value $37.9M, surplus -$20.6M
- Trae Young : salary $49.5M, DARKO value $36.7M, surplus -$12.8M
- AJ Dybantsa : salary $14.7M, DARKO value $10.5M, surplus -$4.3M
- Alexandre Sarr : salary $12.4M, DARKO value $3.7M, surplus -$8.7M
- Bilal Coulibaly : salary $9.2M, DARKO value $2.5M, surplus -$6.8M
- Tre Johnson : salary $8.6M, DARKO value -$4.2M, surplus -$12.9M
- Deandre Ayton : salary $8.1M, DARKO value $13.5M, surplus +$5.4M
- Tre Mann : salary $8.0M, DARKO value -$0.8M, surplus -$8.8M
- Khris Middleton : salary $5.6M, DARKO value -$0.1M, surplus -$5.7M
- Carlton Carrington : salary $4.9M, DARKO value -$8.9M, surplus -$13.8M
- Will Riley : salary $3.7M, DARKO value -$1.1M, surplus -$4.8M
- Kyshawn George : salary $3.1M, DARKO value $7.9M, surplus +$4.7M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis, Trae Young, Bilal Coulibaly, Alexandre Sarr, Kyshawn George | 105 | -5.4 | -2.1 | -3.3 |
| Khris Middleton, Bilal Coulibaly, Alexandre Sarr, Kyshawn George, Tre Johnson | 133 | -11.2 | -7.4 | -3.8 |
| Khris Middleton, Alexandre Sarr, Carlton Carrington, Kyshawn George, Tre Johnson | 126 | -11.4 | -7.4 | -4.0 |
Worst Lineups
No other lineup is still together.
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed November 7, 2026.