Carlton Carrington Profile

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Anfernee Simons 2019-20	21	-3.2	-1.3, -0.7, -1.4, -0.6, -0.7	84
Josh Selby 2011-12	21	-3.4	-3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Kevin Knox II 2019-20	20	-3.4	-1.8, -1.5, -2.6, -2.6, -1.6	82
Dennis Schroder 2013-14	20	-3.1	-1.0, +0.8, -0.2, -0.3, -0.9	82
Daequan Cook 2007-08	20	-2.9	-1.5, -2.4, -0.2, -0.5, -1.3	82
Kobi Simmons 2017-18	20	-3.6	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	82
Cole Anthony 2020-21	21	-2.9	-1.9, -1.2, -0.4, +0.1, -2.0	82
Jonny Flynn 2009-10	21	-3.4	-3.1, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	81
Tre Jones 2020-21	21	-3.2	-0.6, -0.5, -0.1, +0.3, -0.1	81
Jordan Poole 2019-20	20	-2.6	-0.5, +0.4, -0.6, -2.3, -1.4	81

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Carlton's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Carlton Carrington's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Carlton Carrington WAS Self

-3.4DPMDPM Offense -1.5 Defense -1.9 Per 100 possessions:18.9points5.3rebounds7.3assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Ousmane Dieng MIL ↗

-3.4DPMDPM Offense -2.1 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:19.6points8.4rebounds6.3assistsP/R/A
87.4
3 Caleb Love PHI ↗

-3.3DPMDPM Offense -1.5 Defense -1.8 Per 100 possessions:21.5points5.5rebounds6.7assistsP/R/A
87.1
4 Labaron Philon PHI ↗

-2.9DPMDPM Offense -2.0 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:19.5points5.4rebounds6.4assistsP/R/A
85.2
5 Christian Anderson CHA ↗

-3.0DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:20.5points4.8rebounds8.7assistsP/R/A
84.9
6 Mikel Brown Jr. BKN ↗

-2.7DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense -1.6 Per 100 possessions:25.1points5.6rebounds8.5assistsP/R/A
84.9
7 AJ Johnson NOP ↗

-3.2DPMDPM Offense -2.1 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:20.1points5.6rebounds4.6assistsP/R/A
83.9
8 Sergio de Larrea DAL ↗

-2.8DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:18.4points6.1rebounds7.5assistsP/R/A
83.6
9 Tre Johnson WAS ↗

-2.8DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense -1.8 Per 100 possessions:24.9points5.3rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A
83.3
10 Bruce Thornton HOU ↗

-2.8DPMDPM Offense -1.6 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:23.0points4.9rebounds4.6assistsP/R/A
81.9

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Carlton Carrington's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: -$8.9M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $4.9M; Actual
Surplus: -$13.8M; Value minus salary
WARP: 0.0; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 7.0; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 28.7; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Carlton Carrington, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	WAS	21	9	19.0	-3.43	-1.58	-1.85	—
2025-26	WAS	20	82	27.7	-3.90	-1.90	-2.00	350th of 354
2024-25	WAS	19	82	30.0	-3.85	-2.05	-1.81	107th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 15.5 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 99.1.

Carlton Carrington, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	18.9	6.0
Rebounds	5.3	1.7
Offensive	0.7	0.2
Defensive	4.6	1.5
Assists	7.3	2.3
Steals	1.1	0.4
Blocks	0.4	0.1
Turnovers	3.4	1.1
3-pt attempts	9.4	3.0
FG attempts	15.4	4.9
FT attempts	2.7	0.9
FG% · 3P% · FT%	41.1% · 36.9% · 79.0%