Will Riley
Age 20 · 6'8" · 180 lb
Pick #21, 2025 Draft · Rookie 2026 · 74 games
DPM · #433 of 530
-2.0Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.05
- -2.05 before the first game, -2.00 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.62
- Apr 4 vs MIA · 37 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.64
- Feb 11 vs CLE · 29 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.17
- Last 20 games, vs 0.20 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.0 at age 20 in 2025-26 ranks 238th of 354 age-20 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: JR Smith, 2004-05.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith 2004-05 | 19 | -2.3 | -1.2, -0.4, +1.3, +2.3, +1.8 | 92 |
| Anfernee Simons 2018-19 | 19 | -1.9 | -3.2, -1.3, -1.0, -1.1, -0.8 | 91 |
| D'Angelo Russell 2015-16 | 20 | -2.5 | -1.8, -1.1, +0.6, -0.9, -0.5 | 89 |
| Brandon Ingram 2016-17 | 19 | -2.2 | +0.1, -0.8, +0.5, +1.6, +2.7 | 89 |
| Brandon Knight 2011-12 | 20 | -2.2 | -2.4, -0.9, -1.5, -1.6, -3.4 | 88 |
| Archie Goodwin 2014-15 | 20 | -1.9 | -2.4, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. 2019-20 | 19 | -2.1 | -1.7, -0.2, +0.4, under 10 games, +0.2 | 88 |
| Jamal Murray 2016-17 | 20 | -1.3 | +0.4, +1.1, +2.2, +2.0, under 10 games | 88 |
| Dorell Wright 2005-06 | 20 | -1.9 | -1.4, -0.4, under 10 games, +0.4, +0.2 | 87 |
| Jaylen Brown 2016-17 | 20 | -2.0 | +0.6, +0.1, +1.3, +2.3, +3.8 | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Will's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Will Riley's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WAS | 20 | 74 | 22.1 | -2.00 | -0.64 | -1.36 | 238th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 30.6 projected minutes and a pace of 99.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.0 | 15.8 |
| Rebounds | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| Offensive | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| Assists | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.6 | 5.4 |
| FG attempts | 20.3 | 12.9 |
| FT attempts | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.0% · 33.5% · 80.4% | |