Trae Young
Age 27 · 6'1" · 180 lb · USA
Pick #5, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 498 games · 27 playoff games
DPM · #88 of 530
+1.1Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.21
- +1.31 before the first game, +1.10 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.26
- Mar 16 vs GSW · 21 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.16
- Dec 27 vs NYK · 31 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 7 games, vs 0.07 in the first 7. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams 2011-12 | 27 | +0.7 | +1.9, +2.5, +1.8, +0.3, -0.6 | 90 |
| Stephon Marbury 2004-05 | 28 | +1.1 | -1.3, -1.0, -2.5, -3.8, under 10 games | 85 |
| Isaiah Thomas 2015-16 | 27 | +0.8 | +1.7, -1.6, -3.1, -3.1, under 10 games | 81 |
| Chauncey Billups 2003-04 | 27 | +0.8 | +1.2, +2.0, +2.5, +3.0, +2.0 | 79 |
| Devin Harris 2010-11 | 28 | +0.2 | +0.3, +1.2, +2.1, +1.0, -0.3 | 79 |
| Spencer Dinwiddie 2019-20 | 26 | +0.9 | under 10 games, +0.5, +0.9, +0.2, -1.5 | 79 |
| Darren Collison 2014-15 | 27 | +1.1 | -0.1, -1.2, +0.8, +0.8, under 10 games | 76 |
| J.J. Barea 2011-12 | 27 | -0.1 | -1.1, -2.0, -0.2, -0.7, +0.1 | 76 |
| Ty Lawson 2014-15 | 27 | +1.8 | -2.6, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
| Mike Bibby 2004-05 | 26 | +0.2 | +0.2, -0.8, -1.0, -1.1, -0.4 | 76 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Trae's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Trae Young's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $17.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $46.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$28.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WAS | 27 | 15 | 25.6 | +1.10 | +2.86 | -1.76 | — |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 26 | 76 | 36.0 | +1.14 | +3.40 | -2.26 | 204th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | ATL | 25 | 54 | 36.0 | +0.56 | +3.00 | -2.44 | 252nd of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | ATL | 24 | 73 +6 | 34.8 | +2.21 | +4.07 | -1.86 | 79th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | ATL | 23 | 76 +5 | 34.9 | +2.64 | +5.02 | -2.38 | 34th of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | ATL | 22 | 63 +16 | 33.7 | +2.83 | +4.98 | -2.16 | 20th of 813 |
| 2019-20 | ATL | 21 | 60 | 35.3 | +0.93 | +3.99 | -3.06 | 51st of 571 |
| 2018-19 | ATL | 20 | 81 | 30.9 | +0.41 | +2.90 | -2.49 | 43rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.9 projected minutes and a pace of 95.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.1 | 13.9 |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| Offensive | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 11.1 | 5.5 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 5.2 | 2.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.7 | 4.8 |
| FG attempts | 20.6 | 10.2 |
| FT attempts | 8.6 | 4.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.3% · 33.4% · 83.2% | |