Trae Young
Age 28 · 6'1" · 180 lb · USA
Pick #5, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 501 games · 27 playoff games
DPM · #83 of 519
+1.3Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams 2011-12 | 27 | +1.2 | +2.0, +2.8, +1.9, +0.1, -1.0 | 88 |
| Stephon Marbury 2004-05 | 28 | +1.3 | -0.1, -0.4, -2.4, -3.7, under 10 games | 86 |
| Chauncey Billups 2003-04 | 27 | +1.2 | +1.6, +2.1, +2.5, +3.2, +2.4 | 83 |
| Ty Lawson 2014-15 | 27 | +2.1 | -2.0, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Devin Harris 2010-11 | 28 | +0.4 | +0.2, +1.5, +2.1, +1.4, -0.2 | 79 |
| Steve Nash 2001-02 | 28 | +2.6 | +2.6, +1.5, +4.3, +5.4, +6.1 | 77 |
| Mike Bibby 2005-06 | 27 | +0.5 | -0.2, -0.7, -0.7, -0.4, -1.7 | 77 |
| Gilbert Arenas 2009-10 | 28 | +1.7 | -0.3, -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Sam Cassell 1997-98 | 28 | +1.4 | under 10 games, +2.0, +1.3, +1.4, +0.5 | 76 |
| Jason Terry 2004-05 | 27 | +2.0 | +1.7, +2.4, +1.7, +1.3, -0.3 | 76 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Trae's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Trae Young's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense +3.2 Defense -1.9 Per 100 possessions:27.0points4.2rebounds13.5assistsP/R/A100.0
- +2.1DPMDPM Offense +3.2 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:32.9points4.2rebounds10.3assistsP/R/A77.3
- +1.9DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:31.5points6.3rebounds8.3assistsP/R/A77.1
- +1.4DPMDPM Offense +2.6 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:26.5points5.8rebounds8.1assistsP/R/A75.7
- +2.0DPMDPM Offense +3.3 Defense -1.3 Per 100 possessions:36.2points5.5rebounds8.3assistsP/R/A74.5
- +1.0DPMDPM Offense +2.2 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:34.3points6.1rebounds7.3assistsP/R/A74.3
- +2.1DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:29.3points5.6rebounds11.1assistsP/R/A74.2
- +0.7DPMDPM Offense +2.2 Defense -1.5 Per 100 possessions:33.0points6.8rebounds7.2assistsP/R/A72.7
- +0.9DPMDPM Offense +1.2 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:25.4points5.8rebounds9.0assistsP/R/A69.3
- +2.0DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:35.8points10.0rebounds8.6assistsP/R/A69.1
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Trae Young's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $33.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $49.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$16.3M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 6.9
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 5.7
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 34.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | WAS | 28 | 3 | 36.4 | +1.41 | +3.26 | -1.85 | — |
| 2025-26 | WAS | 27 | 15 | 25.6 | +1.24 | +3.16 | -1.92 | — |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 26 | 76 | 36.0 | +1.57 | +3.66 | -2.09 | 163rd of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | ATL | 25 | 54 | 36.0 | +1.13 | +3.41 | -2.27 | 181st of 1077 |
| 2022-23 | ATL | 24 | 73 +6 | 34.8 | +2.58 | +4.40 | -1.82 | 67th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | ATL | 23 | 76 +5 | 34.9 | +2.43 | +5.01 | -2.58 | 49th of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | ATL | 22 | 63 +16 | 33.7 | +2.75 | +5.16 | -2.41 | 24th of 813 |
| 2019-20 | ATL | 21 | 60 | 35.3 | +1.09 | +4.19 | -3.10 | 40th of 571 |
| 2018-19 | ATL | 20 | 81 | 30.9 | -0.66 | +2.00 | -2.66 | 90th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 32.7 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 102.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27.0 | 18.8 |
| Rebounds | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Offensive | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| Assists | 13.5 | 9.4 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.2 | 7.1 |
| FG attempts | 18.5 | 12.9 |
| FT attempts | 10.6 | 7.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.4% · 35.0% · 85.3% | |