Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.00
- -0.62 before the first game, +0.38 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.70
- Apr 1 vs PHI · 11 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.72
- Feb 24 vs ATL · 22 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.25
- Last 20 games, vs 0.20 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.4 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 229th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Thomas Bryant, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Bryant 2019-20 | 23 | +0.5 | +0.3, -0.8, -1.6, -0.4, -1.1 | 87 |
| Aaron Gordon 2017-18 | 22 | +0.6 | +1.2, +1.0, +0.3, +0.8, +2.6 | 85 |
| Miles Bridges 2020-21 | 23 | +0.2 | +1.1, under 10 games, -0.8, -0.1, +0.8 | 85 |
| Bobby Portis 2017-18 | 23 | +0.2 | -1.0, -1.8, 0.0, +1.1, +0.2 | 84 |
| Brandon Ingram 2019-20 | 22 | +0.5 | +1.6, +2.7, +2.2, +1.1, -0.1 | 83 |
| Sean May 2006-07 | 23 | +0.2 | under 10 games, -3.1, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| John Collins 2019-20 | 22 | -0.4 | +1.3, +0.4, +0.6, -0.9, +0.3 | 82 |
| Tobias Harris 2015-16 | 23 | +0.3 | -0.2, -0.4, +0.4, +0.6, +2.1 | 82 |
| Jason Richardson 2003-04 | 23 | +0.1 | +0.9, +1.7, +1.2, +0.5, +0.3 | 82 |
| Chase Budinger 2010-11 | 22 | +0.1 | +0.5, -0.1, -0.5, -0.8, -0.6 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Tristan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Tristan Vukcevic's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $16.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$14.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WAS | 23 | 49 | 13.7 | +0.38 | +0.45 | -0.07 | 229th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | WAS | 22 | 35 | 14.6 | -0.71 | -0.28 | -0.43 | 341st of 813 |
| 2023-24 | WAS | 21 | 10 | 15.3 | -1.35 | -1.00 | -0.34 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 19.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29.2 | 11.1 |
| Rebounds | 10.6 | 4.0 |
| Offensive | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 8.5 | 3.2 |
| Assists | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.7 | 4.4 |
| FG attempts | 23.0 | 8.7 |
| FT attempts | 6.8 | 2.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.3% · 32.0% · 75.0% | |
