Deandre Ayton
Age 28 · 6'11" · 250 lb · Bahamas
Pick #1, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 471 games · 55 playoff games
DPM · #134 of 519
+0.6Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Booker 2015-16 | 28 | +0.5 | -1.5, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 92 |
| Jason Thompson 2014-15 | 28 | +0.6 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Nick Collison 2008-09 | 28 | +0.3 | +2.0, +3.1, +3.5, +3.8, +2.7 | 90 |
| Marcin Gortat 2011-12 | 28 | +0.9 | +0.2, +1.4, +2.2, +1.8, +1.2 | 89 |
| Joe Smith 2002-03 | 27 | +0.9 | +0.1, 0.0, +0.2, -0.4, -0.6 | 89 |
| Brandan Wright 2014-15 | 27 | +0.6 | +0.2, -0.3, +0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| James Singleton 2008-09 | 27 | +0.5 | -2.4, under 10 games, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Robin Lopez 2015-16 | 28 | +0.6 | +1.1, +0.5, +0.5, -2.2, -0.4 | 88 |
| Lavoy Allen 2016-17 | 28 | +0.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Cody Zeller 2020-21 | 28 | +0.9 | 0.0, -1.3, -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Deandre's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Deandre Ayton's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +0.6DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:19.4points15.7rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A100.0
- +0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.9 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:21.5points15.1rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A87.3
- +0.6DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:13.8points14.7rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A84.8
- +0.5DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:16.7points13.0rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A83.8
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:18.7points15.9rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A83.5
- +1.5DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:23.8points17.9rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A82.9
- +0.3DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:20.7points19.4rebounds2.3assistsP/R/A82.4
- 0.0DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:17.5points11.5rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A82.0
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense +1.7 Per 100 possessions:19.2points11.9rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A81.6
- +0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:21.4points15.2rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A81.2
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Deandre Ayton's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $17.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $7.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$10.2M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 3.1
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.8
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 31.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | WAS | 28 | 1 | 15.1 | +0.51 | -0.71 | +1.21 | — |
| 2025-26 | LAL | 27 | 72 +10 | 27.2 | +0.50 | -0.71 | +1.21 | 305th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | POR | 26 | 40 | 30.1 | -0.16 | -0.96 | +0.80 | 454th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | POR | 25 | 55 | 32.4 | +0.11 | -0.24 | +0.35 | 359th of 1077 |
| 2022-23 | PHX | 24 | 67 +10 | 30.4 | +1.13 | +0.09 | +1.04 | 166th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | PHX | 23 | 58 +13 | 29.5 | +2.03 | +0.84 | +1.20 | 73rd of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | PHX | 22 | 69 +22 | 30.6 | +1.74 | +0.69 | +1.06 | 43rd of 813 |
| 2019-20 | PHX | 22 | 38 | 32.5 | +0.73 | +0.50 | +0.23 | 117th of 813 |
| 2018-19 | PHX | 20 | 71 | 30.7 | -0.91 | -0.44 | -0.48 | 114th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 18.3 projected minutes and a pace of 99.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.4 | 7.3 |
| Rebounds | 15.7 | 5.9 |
| Offensive | 5.4 | 2.1 |
| Defensive | 10.2 | 3.9 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| FG attempts | 13.2 | 5.0 |
| FT attempts | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 64.3% · 23.1% · 67.1% | |