Eastern Conference
Washington Wizards
Record 4-9Projected 31.0-51.0Playoffs 12.7%Win conference 0.1%Win Finals 0.0%Lottery 87.3%Expected pick 8.0SRS -4.21
DARKO rating · #27 of 30
-3.9Worth about 26 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 12, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +2.08; the ones below take away 5.96.
- Anthony Davis Offense+0.24 Defense+0.89 Net+1.13
- Trae Young Offense+1.69 Defense-1.20 Net+0.49
- Justin Champagnie Offense+0.17 Defense+0.05 Net+0.22
- Tristan Vukcevic Offense+0.08 Defense+0.06 Net+0.14
- Deandre Ayton Offense-0.08 Defense+0.19 Net+0.11
- Jamir Watkins Offense-0.25 Defense+0.17 Net-0.08
- Kyshawn George Offense-0.32 Defense-0.18 Net-0.51
- Alexandre Sarr Offense-0.57 Defense-0.03 Net-0.60
- Bilal Coulibaly Offense-0.51 Defense-0.10 Net-0.61
- Carlton Carrington Offense-0.36 Defense-0.47 Net-0.83
- Tre Johnson Offense-0.44 Defense-0.71 Net-1.15
- AJ Dybantsa Offense-0.98 Defense-0.63 Net-1.61
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| AJ Dybantsa | F | -2.8 | -1.7 | -1.1 | -$0.2M | -2.8 | -1.9 | 32.6 | 98.2 | 25.0 | 3.9 | 45.3% | 31.7% | 75.5% |
| Alexandre Sarr | C | -1.2 | -1.1 | -0.1 | $3.9M | -0.1 | -2.2 | 28.3 | 99.4 | 23.3 | 3.6 | 47.8% | 33.3% | 72.7% |
| Anthony Davis | F-C | +1.9 | +0.4 | +1.5 | $35.1M | +1.5 | +1.9 | 33.2 | 98.4 | 33.5 | 3.8 | 51.7% | 31.1% | 78.2% |
| Anthony Gill | F | -2.0 | -1.6 | -0.4 | $0.0M | -1.9 | -2.4 | 5.3 | 98.7 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 55.4% | 32.2% | 69.6% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | G | -1.6 | -1.3 | -0.3 | $3.0M | +0.8 | -2.9 | 21.9 | 98.5 | 18.5 | 3.4 | 45.5% | 33.2% | 75.8% |
| Carlton Carrington | G | -3.4 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -$5.6M | -2.0 | -4.4 | 14.0 | 98.7 | 19.6 | 7.1 | 41.2% | 36.8% | 78.8% |
| Deandre Ayton | F-C | +0.7 | -0.5 | +1.2 | $9.5M | +2.1 | +0.3 | 9.0 | 97.2 | 18.3 | 2.7 | 65.1% | 23.5% | 67.1% |
| Felix Okpara | C | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.0 | -$3.0M | -3.1 | -2.0 | 2.6 | 97.5 | 17.8 | 2.4 | 53.9% | 28.6% | 66.9% |
| Jamir Watkins | F | -0.2 | -0.7 | +0.5 | $10.1M | -0.2 | -0.1 | 20.5 | 98.8 | 18.4 | 3.4 | 43.5% | 33.3% | 73.0% |
| Justin Champagnie | G-F | +1.1 | +0.9 | +0.3 | $20.2M | +2.2 | -0.1 | 10.7 | 98.9 | 20.6 | 2.9 | 49.1% | 34.0% | 76.8% |
| Khris Middleton | F-G | -2.2 | -1.5 | -0.7 | -$0.3M | -3.3 | -2.0 | 4.9 | 98.5 | 19.7 | 5.3 | 42.8% | 37.5% | 84.4% |
| Kyshawn George | F | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.3 | $9.1M | -0.4 | -1.4 | 30.4 | 98.4 | 26.2 | 7.2 | 45.3% | 36.5% | 81.4% |
| Reece Beekman | G | -2.2 | -2.3 | +0.1 | -$0.6M | -2.2 | -2.6 | 3.5 | 97.7 | 12.4 | 7.6 | 43.1% | 32.8% | 78.1% |
| Trae Young | G | +0.8 | +2.8 | -2.0 | $27.1M | +1.2 | +0.7 | 34.0 | 98.7 | 27.1 | 12.5 | 41.9% | 35.1% | 86.2% |
| Tre Johnson | G | -3.0 | -1.1 | -1.8 | -$7.6M | -3.0 | -2.8 | 21.9 | 98.8 | 24.0 | 3.4 | 41.8% | 36.2% | 84.6% |
| Tre Mann | G | -2.7 | -2.3 | -0.4 | -$1.1M | -1.6 | -3.7 | 3.0 | 97.6 | 21.1 | 7.1 | 41.4% | 35.5% | 82.3% |
| Tristan Vukcevic | F | +0.7 | +0.4 | +0.3 | $11.7M | +1.9 | -2.8 | 12.0 | 98.9 | 29.4 | 3.7 | 46.9% | 35.1% | 79.6% |
| Will Riley | F | -2.5 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -$1.1M | -1.8 | -4.2 | 4.1 | 98.9 | 22.5 | 4.2 | 44.7% | 34.3% | 81.7% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 28 | +0.8 | 6.4 | 92% |
| Anthony Davis | 33 | +1.9 | 4.1 | 72% |
| AJ Dybantsa | 19 | -2.8 | 8.7 | 97% |
| Kyshawn George | 22 | -0.9 | 8.0 | 95% |
| Alexandre Sarr | 21 | -1.2 | 8.2 | 95% |
| Tre Johnson | 20 | -3.0 | 6.5 | 88% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 22 | -1.6 | 6.4 | 88% |
| Jamir Watkins | 25 | -0.2 | 2.1 | 27% |
| Carlton Carrington | 21 | -3.4 | 6.7 | 88% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$196.9M of salary for $129.8M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Anthony Davis : salary $58.5M, DARKO value $35.1M, surplus -$23.4M
- Trae Young : salary $49.5M, DARKO value $27.1M, surplus -$22.4M
- AJ Dybantsa : salary $14.7M, DARKO value -$0.2M, surplus -$15.0M
- Alexandre Sarr : salary $12.4M, DARKO value $3.9M, surplus -$8.4M
- Bilal Coulibaly : salary $9.2M, DARKO value $3.0M, surplus -$6.2M
- Tre Johnson : salary $8.6M, DARKO value -$7.6M, surplus -$16.3M
- Deandre Ayton : salary $8.1M, DARKO value $9.5M, surplus +$1.3M
- Tre Mann : salary $8.0M, DARKO value -$1.1M, surplus -$9.1M
- Khris Middleton : salary $5.6M, DARKO value -$0.3M, surplus -$5.8M
- Carlton Carrington : salary $4.9M, DARKO value -$5.6M, surplus -$10.5M
- Will Riley : salary $3.7M, DARKO value -$1.1M, surplus -$4.8M
- Kyshawn George : salary $3.1M, DARKO value $9.1M, surplus +$6.0M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis, Trae Young, Alexandre Sarr, Kyshawn George, AJ Dybantsa | 161 | -2.4 | -0.5 | -1.9 |
| Anthony Davis, Trae Young, Bilal Coulibaly, Alexandre Sarr, Kyshawn George | 108 | -5.8 | -2.2 | -3.6 |
| Khris Middleton, Alexandre Sarr, Carlton Carrington, Kyshawn George, Tre Johnson | 126 | -10.9 | -7.2 | -3.7 |
| Khris Middleton, Bilal Coulibaly, Alexandre Sarr, Kyshawn George, Tre Johnson | 133 | -10.9 | -7.3 | -3.7 |
Worst Lineups
No other lineup is still together.
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed November 13, 2026.