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Eastern Conference
Orlando Magic
Record 4-7Projected 40.2-41.8Playoffs 59.0%Win conference 2.4%Win Finals 0.6%Lottery 41.0%Expected pick 14.7SRS +0.73
DARKO rating · #16 of 30
+1.9 Offense 0.0 Defense +2.0
Worth about 41 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 12, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +4.04; the ones below take away 2.10.
- Franz Wagner Offense+1.36 Defense-0.11 Net+1.25
- Wendell Carter Jr. Offense-0.34 Defense+1.03 Net+0.70
- Paolo Banchero Offense+0.68 Defense-0.15 Net+0.53
- Desmond Bane Offense+0.59 Defense-0.10 Net+0.49
- Jalen Suggs Offense-0.08 Defense+0.51 Net+0.44
- Anthony Black Offense-0.31 Defense+0.57 Net+0.26
- Goga Bitadze Offense-0.06 Defense+0.30 Net+0.24
- Jonathan Isaac Offense-0.23 Defense+0.37 Net+0.14
- Tristan da Silva Offense+0.01 Defense-0.07 Net-0.07
- Noah Penda Offense-0.15 Defense+0.06 Net-0.09
- Jevon Carter Offense-0.14 Defense-0.04 Net-0.17
- Nikola Vucevic Offense-0.29 Defense+0.01 Net-0.28
- Alex Morales Offense-0.38 Defense+0.01 Net-0.36
- Jase Richardson Offense-0.30 Defense-0.21 Net-0.50
- Jamal Cain Offense-0.39 Defense-0.23 Net-0.62
Orlando Magic Offense-0.01 Defense+1.96 Net+1.95
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Alex Morales | G | -2.5 | -2.6 | +0.1 | -$1.6M | -2.5 | -1.5 | 8.0 | 96.6 | 12.6 | 3.9 | 43.3% | 33.2% | 72.0% |
| Anthony Black | G | +0.5 | -0.6 | +1.0 | $25.0M | +0.7 | +0.4 | 30.9 | 96.8 | 26.4 | 7.5 | 44.5% | 34.0% | 75.3% |
| Colin Castleton | C | -0.7 | -1.3 | +0.7 | $2.4M | -0.5 | -2.3 | 1.1 | 97.5 | 18.5 | 2.8 | 57.5% | 26.9% | 72.3% |
| Desmond Bane | G | +0.8 | +1.0 | -0.2 | $27.8M | +0.1 | +1.0 | 33.4 | 97.0 | 28.7 | 4.8 | 44.5% | 38.3% | 88.4% |
| Franz Wagner | F | +2.0 | +2.1 | -0.2 | $39.3M | +0.9 | +2.3 | 35.7 | 97.0 | 32.8 | 9.5 | 47.4% | 33.0% | 84.5% |
| Goga Bitadze | C | +1.6 | -0.4 | +2.0 | $11.1M | +2.3 | +1.0 | 8.3 | 96.5 | 18.7 | 3.8 | 63.3% | 22.1% | 67.3% |
| Izaiyah Nelson | F | -2.6 | -2.3 | -0.3 | -$1.8M | -2.6 | -2.1 | 2.1 | 97.9 | 18.0 | 2.5 | 46.6% | 31.7% | 70.4% |
| Jalen Suggs | G | +1.3 | -0.2 | +1.5 | $22.0M | -0.1 | +2.0 | 18.9 | 98.1 | 20.9 | 8.6 | 42.4% | 35.0% | 83.4% |
| Jamal Cain | F | -2.0 | -1.2 | -0.7 | $0.5M | -1.9 | -2.1 | 17.6 | 97.3 | 20.0 | 2.5 | 45.6% | 36.8% | 76.9% |
| Jase Richardson | G | -2.0 | -1.2 | -0.8 | -$0.5M | -2.1 | -2.2 | 13.8 | 97.7 | 17.9 | 6.0 | 43.0% | 35.2% | 79.8% |
| Jevon Carter | G | -1.1 | -0.9 | -0.2 | $3.0M | -0.5 | -1.4 | 9.0 | 96.5 | 17.3 | 6.0 | 38.7% | 37.4% | 81.9% |
| Jonathan Isaac | F | +1.0 | -1.8 | +2.8 | $7.4M | +0.1 | +1.4 | 7.4 | 97.8 | 15.1 | 2.5 | 46.8% | 31.2% | 66.4% |
| Nikola Vucevic | C | -1.7 | -1.8 | +0.1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | -2.0 | 9.3 | 97.2 | 20.4 | 5.1 | 46.7% | 35.6% | 79.1% |
| Noah Penda | G-F | -0.7 | -1.1 | +0.4 | $4.0M | -0.4 | -1.9 | 7.1 | 97.9 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 42.4% | 34.0% | 73.8% |
| Paolo Banchero | F | +1.2 | +1.6 | -0.3 | $19.3M | -0.9 | +1.9 | 24.2 | 98.0 | 33.8 | 8.1 | 46.6% | 33.1% | 75.9% |
| Tristan da Silva | F | -0.2 | +0.0 | -0.2 | $18.5M | -0.7 | +0.1 | 24.9 | 97.4 | 23.2 | 3.6 | 43.1% | 37.3% | 83.1% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | F | +1.3 | -0.6 | +1.9 | $31.0M | +0.5 | +1.5 | 30.6 | 97.2 | 19.7 | 3.1 | 53.3% | 33.7% | 76.7% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner | 25 | +2.0 | 9.5 | 99% |
| Desmond Bane | 28 | +0.8 | 6.5 | 95% |
| Anthony Black | 22 | +0.5 | 10.4 | 99% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27 | +1.3 | 6.8 | 95% |
| Tristan da Silva | 25 | -0.2 | 6.7 | 90% |
| Paolo Banchero | 24 | +1.2 | 10.4 | 99% |
| Jalen Suggs | 25 | +1.3 | 8.1 | 95% |
| Jamal Cain | 27 | -2.0 | 3.0 | 49% |
| Jase Richardson | 21 | -2.0 | 5.1 | 72% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$222.2M of salary for $212.0M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Franz Wagner : salary $41.8M, DARKO value $39.3M, surplus -$2.4M
- Paolo Banchero : salary $41.5M, DARKO value $19.3M, surplus -$22.2M
- Desmond Bane : salary $39.4M, DARKO value $27.8M, surplus -$11.6M
- Jalen Suggs : salary $32.4M, DARKO value $22.0M, surplus -$10.4M
- Wendell Carter Jr. : salary $18.1M, DARKO value $31.0M, surplus +$12.9M
- Jonathan Isaac : salary $10.4M, DARKO value $7.4M, surplus -$3.1M
- Anthony Black : salary $10.1M, DARKO value $25.0M, surplus +$14.8M
- Goga Bitadze : salary $7.6M, DARKO value $11.1M, surplus +$3.5M
- Tristan da Silva : salary $4.0M, DARKO value $18.5M, surplus +$14.5M
- Jase Richardson : salary $3.1M, DARKO value -$0.5M, surplus -$3.6M
- Jamal Cain : salary $2.6M, DARKO value $0.5M, surplus -$2.1M
- Jevon Carter : salary $2.4M, DARKO value $3.0M, surplus +$0.6M
Top Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero | 641 | +10.7 | +3.1 | +7.6 |
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Tristan da Silva | 239 | +9.7 | +1.8 | +7.8 |
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Franz Wagner, Anthony Black, Tristan da Silva | 121 | +7.2 | +1.3 | +5.9 |
| Goga Bitadze, Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Anthony Black, Tristan da Silva | 123 | +7.0 | +0.6 | +6.4 |
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Anthony Black | 239 | +6.9 | +1.3 | +5.6 |
Worst Lineups
| Lineup | Poss | Net +/- | Off +/- | Def +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Paolo Banchero, Anthony Black, Noah Penda | 110 | -1.6 | -2.4 | +0.8 |
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Paolo Banchero, Anthony Black, Tristan da Silva | 355 | -1.5 | -2.2 | +0.6 |
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Jamal Cain | 116 | +2.0 | -1.0 | +3.0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Anthony Black | 627 | +2.6 | -1.6 | +4.2 |
| Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva | 587 | +3.0 | -0.3 | +3.3 |
Lineups whose five players are all on today's roster, from lineup ratings computed November 13, 2026.