Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.11
- -1.98 before the first game, -0.87 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.95
- Jan 18 vs MEM · 8 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.54
- Feb 3 vs OKC · 24 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.22
- Last 20 games, vs 0.24 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.9 at age 21 in 2025-26 ranks 227th of 571 age-21 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Delonte West, 2004-05.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delonte West 2004-05 | 21 | -0.7 | +0.8, -0.6, -0.2, +1.7, +1.2 | 89 |
| Jarrett Culver 2019-20 | 21 | -0.7 | -1.7, -2.5, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Miles Bridges 2018-19 | 21 | -0.5 | -1.6, +0.2, +1.1, under 10 games, -0.8 | 88 |
| Grant Williams 2019-20 | 21 | -1.0 | -1.4, -0.6, +0.1, -1.4, -0.1 | 88 |
| Patrick McCaw 2016-17 | 21 | -0.6 | -1.8, -2.4, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Omari Spellman 2018-19 | 21 | -1.4 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Aaron Harrison 2015-16 | 21 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jerami Grant 2014-15 | 21 | -1.1 | -1.4, -1.8, -1.0, +0.5, -0.9 | 87 |
| Josh Okogie 2019-20 | 21 | -0.2 | 0.0, +0.3, +1.4, +0.5, +1.8 | 87 |
| James Young 2015-16 | 20 | -0.8 | -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Noah's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Noah Penda's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$0.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 4.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 21 | 59 +1 | 12.8 | -0.87 | -1.19 | +0.32 | 227th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 3.1 projected minutes and a pace of 93.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13.7 | 0.8 |
| Rebounds | 10.2 | 0.6 |
| Offensive | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 6.9 | 0.4 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 0.2 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.3 | 0.4 |
| FG attempts | 12.0 | 0.7 |
| FT attempts | 3.9 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 36.2% · 30.1% · 68.6% | |
