Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.22
- +1.00 before the first game, +0.78 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.32
- Feb 26 vs HOU · 38 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.30
- Oct 27 vs PHI · 34 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.07
- Last 20 games, vs 0.13 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.8 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 240th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Chandler Parsons, 2015-16.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons 2015-16 | 27 | +1.0 | -1.0, -1.0, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Jared Dudley 2012-13 | 27 | +1.2 | +0.6, +1.7, +1.4, +0.9, +1.0 | 89 |
| Kerry Kittles 2001-02 | 28 | +0.7 | +1.7, +1.9, +0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Jason Richardson 2007-08 | 27 | +0.5 | +0.3, +1.3, +0.7, +0.6, +0.2 | 89 |
| Norman Powell 2020-21 | 28 | +0.6 | -0.2, -1.6, -0.7, +1.1, +0.5 | 88 |
| Morris Peterson 2004-05 | 27 | +0.8 | +0.2, -0.4, +0.1, -0.1, -1.5 | 88 |
| Mike Dunleavy 2007-08 | 27 | +0.9 | +0.4, +0.1, +1.4, +1.2, +0.7 | 88 |
| Wesley Matthews 2014-15 | 28 | +1.2 | +0.1, -0.4, -1.3, -1.1, -0.3 | 87 |
| Danilo Gallinari 2015-16 | 27 | +1.2 | +2.9, +0.9, +1.3, +2.0, -0.2 | 87 |
| Cuttino Mobley 2002-03 | 27 | +0.9 | +1.1, +0.1, +0.4, -0.2, -0.8 | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Desmond's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Desmond Bane's seasons, at the same age.
- John Poulakidas DAL like his 2020-21 86
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Desmond Bane's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $28.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $36.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$8.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 4.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 27 | 82 +7 | 33.6 | +0.78 | +0.90 | -0.12 | 240th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | MEM | 26 | 69 +4 | 32.0 | +1.43 | +1.67 | -0.24 | 170th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | MEM | 25 | 42 | 34.4 | +1.57 | +1.70 | -0.13 | 137th of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | MEM | 24 | 58 +6 | 31.7 | +2.50 | +1.83 | +0.68 | 64th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | MEM | 23 | 76 +12 | 29.8 | +2.02 | +1.46 | +0.56 | 62nd of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | MEM | 22 | 68 +5 | 22.3 | -1.03 | -0.58 | -0.45 | 406th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 25.7 projected minutes and a pace of 94.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.2 | 12.8 |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 3.3 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 5.1 | 2.6 |
| Assists | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.3 | 4.7 |
| FG attempts | 19.9 | 10.1 |
| FT attempts | 5.6 | 2.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.5% · 37.0% · 87.3% | |
