Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.83
- -1.91 before the first game, -2.73 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.15
- Apr 8 vs MIN · 5 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.60
- Mar 19 vs CHA · 12 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.28
- Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rusty LaRue 2001-02 | 28 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2019-20 | 28 | -2.0 | -1.5, -1.6, -2.3, -2.7, under 10 games | 86 |
| Awvee Storey 2005-06 | 29 | -2.7 | under 10 games, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Bimbo Coles 1996-97 | 28 | -2.2 | -2.8, -2.0, -2.6, -3.9, -3.9 | 85 |
| Malcolm Delaney 2016-17 | 28 | -2.3 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| John Crotty 1997-98 | 28 | -2.7 | -2.7, -1.3, -2.2, -0.9, -2.1 | 84 |
| Chucky Brown 1996-97 | 29 | -2.7 | -2.8, -0.9, -3.3, -3.0, -4.5 | 83 |
| Chasson Randle 2020-21 | 28 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Doug Overton 1997-98 | 28 | -3.0 | -3.2, -3.1, -3.3, -3.2, under 10 games | 82 |
| Bill Curley 1999-00 | 27 | -2.4 | -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Alex's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Alex Morales's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 28 | 4 | 5.9 | -2.73 | -2.00 | -0.73 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.7 projected minutes and a pace of 100.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.0 | 1.8 |
| Rebounds | 7.9 | 0.8 |
| Offensive | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 5.4 | 0.5 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.4 | 0.5 |
| FG attempts | 15.9 | 1.6 |
| FT attempts | 4.4 | 0.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.2% · 29.3% · 73.9% | |
