Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.53
- -3.36 before the first game, -1.83 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.77
- Dec 3 vs SAS · 16 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.33
- Feb 3 vs OKC · 13 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.13
- Last 20 games, vs 0.23 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.8 at age 20 in 2025-26 ranks 217th of 354 age-20 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Monta Ellis, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis 2005-06 | 20 | -1.8 | 0.0, +0.4, -0.8, -1.5, -1.2 | 90 |
| Jeremy Lamb 2012-13 | 20 | -1.9 | -0.2, -0.8, +0.3, +0.1, +0.3 | 88 |
| Anfernee Simons 2018-19 | 19 | -1.9 | -3.2, -1.3, -1.0, -1.1, -0.8 | 88 |
| Kira Lewis Jr. 2020-21 | 20 | -1.8 | -2.3, -0.7, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jamal Murray 2016-17 | 20 | -1.3 | +0.4, +1.1, +2.2, +2.0, under 10 games | 87 |
| Malik Monk 2018-19 | 21 | -1.8 | -2.2, -1.2, -0.2, -0.4, -1.1 | 87 |
| Nassir Little 2019-20 | 20 | -2.1 | -1.9, -0.4, -2.2, -2.6, under 10 games | 87 |
| Malachi Richardson 2016-17 | 21 | -1.8 | -2.2, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Archie Goodwin 2014-15 | 20 | -1.9 | -2.4, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jaylen Brown 2016-17 | 20 | -2.0 | +0.6, +0.1, +1.3, +2.3, +3.8 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jase's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jase Richardson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 20 | 54 +1 | 10.9 | -1.83 | -0.71 | -1.12 | 217th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 3.0 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.0 | 1.1 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 0.3 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Defensive | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.0 | 0.4 |
| FG attempts | 15.7 | 0.9 |
| FT attempts | 5.0 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.1% · 32.3% · 72.8% | |
