Paolo Banchero
Age 23 · 6'10" · 250 lb
Pick #1, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 270 games · 19 playoff games
DPM · #166 of 530
+0.2Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.13
- +0.35 before the first game, +0.22 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.60
- Jan 15 vs MEM · 37 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.64
- Jan 6 vs WAS · 25 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.11 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.2 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 253rd of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Gordon Hayward, 2013-14.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward 2013-14 | 24 | -0.3 | +2.2, +2.4, +3.1, under 10 games, +0.4 | 85 |
| Brandon Ingram 2019-20 | 22 | +0.5 | +1.6, +2.7, +2.2, +1.1, -0.1 | 84 |
| Lamar Odom 2002-03 | 23 | 0.0 | +1.4, +0.3, +2.0, +1.6, +3.3 | 83 |
| Richard Jefferson 2003-04 | 23 | +1.0 | +0.3, +0.2, +0.6, -1.2, -0.9 | 83 |
| Ben Simmons 2019-20 | 24 | +0.9 | +1.9, under 10 games, +0.2, +0.6, -0.7 | 83 |
| Brandon Roy 2006-07 | 22 | +0.2 | +1.2, +3.4, +2.1, +0.6, under 10 games | 83 |
| Carlos Boozer 2004-05 | 23 | -0.2 | +0.5, +1.1, +1.4, -0.6, +0.7 | 82 |
| CJ Miles 2010-11 | 24 | +0.4 | +0.4, +0.5, +1.7, +1.9, -0.2 | 82 |
| Greg Monroe 2012-13 | 22 | -0.1 | -0.6, +0.2, +0.6, +1.2, -1.8 | 82 |
| Jabari Parker 2018-19 | 24 | -0.4 | 0.0, +0.1, -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Paolo's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Paolo Banchero's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $25.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $15.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$10.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 23 | 72 +7 | 34.7 | +0.22 | +0.53 | -0.31 | 253rd of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 22 | 46 +5 | 34.4 | +0.54 | +1.03 | -0.49 | 142nd of 813 |
| 2023-24 | ORL | 21 | 80 +7 | 35.0 | +0.41 | +0.92 | -0.50 | 77th of 571 |
| 2022-23 | ORL | 20 | 72 | 33.8 | -0.93 | +0.42 | -1.35 | 123rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 26.6 projected minutes and a pace of 94.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29.4 | 15.4 |
| Rebounds | 11.3 | 5.9 |
| Offensive | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 9.6 | 5.0 |
| Assists | 7.0 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.2 | 3.8 |
| FG attempts | 24.5 | 12.8 |
| FT attempts | 11.1 | 5.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.3% · 30.6% · 71.1% | |