Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.10
- +1.59 before the first game, +1.69 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.42
- Nov 25 vs PHI · 16 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.35
- Dec 1 vs CHI · 30 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.7 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 111th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Marcus Smart, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart 2017-18 | 24 | +0.8 | +0.9, +2.1, +1.8, +2.2, +1.8 | 85 |
| Victor Oladipo 2016-17 | 24 | +1.1 | +4.6, +3.8, +2.2, -0.4, under 10 games | 82 |
| Trevor Ariza 2009-10 | 24 | +0.6 | +0.8, -0.3, 0.0, +2.0, +1.5 | 81 |
| Andre Iguodala 2007-08 | 24 | +1.9 | +2.3, +1.4, +2.3, +2.4, +2.5 | 80 |
| Maurice Harkless 2017-18 | 24 | +1.5 | +1.9, -0.3, -0.4, 0.0, under 10 games | 80 |
| Josh Richardson 2017-18 | 24 | +1.1 | +0.8, -0.2, -1.4, -0.2, -0.5 | 80 |
| Jason Kidd 1997-98 | 25 | +2.0 | +3.6, +3.9, +3.2, +4.4, +5.3 | 79 |
| Iman Shumpert 2014-15 | 24 | +1.0 | +0.6, -0.6, -0.7, -1.7, -2.1 | 79 |
| Eric Bledsoe 2013-14 | 24 | +2.1 | +2.4, +2.2, +2.5, +3.6, +3.8 | 79 |
| Patrick Beverley 2012-13 | 24 | +1.5 | +0.5, +0.2, +1.3, +1.4, +1.0 | 79 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Suggs's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $36.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $35.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$1.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 5.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 24 | 57 +7 | 27.6 | +1.69 | -0.03 | +1.72 | 111th of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 23 | 35 | 28.6 | +1.52 | -0.24 | +1.76 | 107th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | ORL | 22 | 75 +7 | 27.0 | +1.35 | +0.15 | +1.19 | 64th of 813 |
| 2022-23 | ORL | 21 | 53 | 23.4 | -0.78 | -1.34 | +0.56 | 213th of 571 |
| 2021-22 | ORL | 20 | 48 | 27.2 | -2.24 | -2.10 | -0.14 | 261st of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.8 | 8.5 |
| Rebounds | 6.6 | 3.0 |
| Offensive | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 5.6 | 2.5 |
| Assists | 7.2 | 3.3 |
| Steals | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.5 | 4.7 |
| FG attempts | 17.1 | 7.7 |
| FT attempts | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.7% · 32.7% · 81.4% | |
