Wendell Carter Jr. Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: +0.62; +0.43 before the first game, +1.05 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.37; Nov 10 vs POR · 30 min
Biggest drop: -0.41; Jan 6 vs WAS · 20 min
Typical change per game: 0.08; Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+1.0 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 209th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jared Jeffries, 2007-08.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Jared Jeffries 2007-08	26	+0.9	+1.5, +1.5, +1.6, +1.4, -0.3	87
Gorgui Dieng 2016-17	27	+1.4	-1.3, -0.3, -0.2, -0.4, -1.3	86
Derrick Favors 2017-18	26	+1.7	+1.4, +1.9, +0.2, -0.9, under 10 games	85
Joe Smith 2002-03	27	+0.8	+0.3, 0.0, -0.1, -0.4, -0.6	85
Jeremy Evans 2014-15	27	+0.7	+0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
Al-Farouq Aminu 2017-18	27	+1.4	+1.6, +0.5, +0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
Jason Thompson 2013-14	27	+0.7	+0.7, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
Markieff Morris 2016-17	27	+0.8	+0.5, -0.5, -1.4, -1.9, -2.0	84
Willie Cauley-Stein 2019-20	26	+0.8	+1.3, +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	83
Trevor Booker 2014-15	27	+0.4	+0.9, -1.2, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games	83

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Wendell's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Wendell Carter Jr.'s seasons, at the same age.

Noa Essengue CHI like his 2018-19 88
Rocco Zikarsky MIN like his 2018-19 83
Ronald Holland II DET like his 2019-20 83

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Wendell Carter Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $27.5M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $10.8M; Actual
Surplus: +$16.7M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 3.4; Projected
Retires at: 30.7; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Wendell Carter Jr., season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	ORL	27	78 +7	29.3	+1.05	-0.77	+1.82	209th of 924
2024-25	ORL	26	68 +5	25.9	+0.43	-1.44	+1.87	310th of 1010
2023-24	ORL	25	55 +7	25.6	+0.74	-0.42	+1.17	225th of 1078
2022-23	ORL	23	57	29.6	+0.19	-0.29	+0.48	262nd of 1100
2021-22	ORL	22	62	29.9	+0.40	-0.70	+1.10	157th of 813
2020-21	ORL	22	54	25.5	-1.23	-1.64	+0.41	449th of 813
2019-20	CHI	20	43	29.2	-0.28	-1.37	+1.10	69th of 354
2018-19	CHI	19	44	25.2	-1.62	-1.93	+0.31	56th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 21.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.5.

Wendell Carter Jr., projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	17.1	7.4
Rebounds	12.2	5.2
Offensive	3.6	1.5
Defensive	8.6	3.7
Assists	2.9	1.3
Steals	1.2	0.5
Blocks	1.4	0.6
Turnovers	2.3	1.0
3-pt attempts	4.6	2.0
FG attempts	12.5	5.4
FT attempts	6.0	2.6
FG% · 3P% · FT%	49.1% · 29.9% · 73.6%