Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.20
- +1.32 before the first game, +1.12 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.37
- Apr 10 vs CHI · 17 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.39
- Nov 10 vs POR · 18 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.14
- Last 20 games, vs 0.16 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.1 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 206th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Joakim Noah, 2010-11.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Noah 2010-11 | 26 | +1.8 | +1.8, +1.5, +2.7, +2.0, +0.8 | 87 |
| Willie Cauley-Stein 2019-20 | 26 | +0.8 | +1.3, +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Tony Battie 2002-03 | 27 | +1.3 | -0.6, -1.7, -0.9, -1.4, under 10 games | 85 |
| Nerlens Noel 2020-21 | 27 | +0.7 | -0.1, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Taj Gibson 2011-12 | 26 | +1.5 | +0.9, +1.2, +0.7, +0.4, +0.4 | 85 |
| Scot Pollard 2000-01 | 26 | +1.9 | +1.8, +1.5, -1.2, -0.3, +0.7 | 84 |
| Gorgui Dieng 2016-17 | 27 | +1.4 | -1.3, -0.3, -0.2, -0.4, -1.3 | 84 |
| Brendan Haywood 2006-07 | 27 | +0.8 | +1.0, under 10 games, +2.1, +0.8, +0.7 | 83 |
| Marcus Camby 2000-01 | 27 | +0.4 | -0.3, -1.0, +1.4, +1.8, +1.4 | 83 |
| Robin Lopez 2014-15 | 27 | +1.8 | +0.5, +0.9, -0.2, +0.3, -2.1 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Goga's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Goga Bitadze's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $8.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ORL | 26 | 64 +6 | 15.2 | +1.12 | -0.68 | +1.80 | 206th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 25 | 70 +3 | 20.4 | +1.39 | -0.83 | +2.22 | 148th of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | ORL | 24 | 62 +2 | 15.4 | +0.36 | -1.15 | +1.51 | 266th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | ORL | 23 | 38 | 11.9 | -0.06 | -0.84 | +0.78 | 308th of 1100 |
| 2021-22 | IND | 22 | 50 | 14.6 | -0.33 | -0.40 | +0.08 | 264th of 813 |
| 2020-21 | IND | 21 | 45 | 12.5 | -0.41 | -0.78 | +0.36 | 166th of 571 |
| 2019-20 | IND | 21 | 54 | 8.7 | -1.89 | -2.53 | +0.64 | 406th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.7 projected minutes and a pace of 93.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.1 | 1.5 |
| Rebounds | 15.1 | 1.4 |
| Offensive | 6.1 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 9.1 | 0.8 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 4.4 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| FG attempts | 11.6 | 1.1 |
| FT attempts | 5.2 | 0.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 61.2% · 26.6% · 65.2% | |
