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Eastern Conference
Washington Wizards
Record 4-3Projected 32.9-49.1Playoffs 14.8%Win conference 0.3%Win Finals 0.1%Lottery 85.2%Expected pick 8.7SRS -3.83
DARKO rating · #25 of 30
-2.5 Offense -0.4 Defense -2.0
Worth about 28 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 2, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +2.42; the ones below take away 4.90.
- Anthony Davis Offense+0.21 Defense+0.83 Net+1.04
- Trae Young Offense+1.98 Defense-1.07 Net+0.91
- Justin Champagnie Offense+0.14 Defense+0.05 Net+0.19
- Deandre Ayton Offense-0.13 Defense+0.31 Net+0.19
- Tristan Vukcevic Offense+0.06 Defense+0.04 Net+0.09
- Jamir Watkins Offense-0.21 Defense+0.17 Net-0.04
- Anthony Gill Offense-0.18 Defense-0.03 Net-0.21
- AJ Dybantsa Offense+0.41 Defense-0.64 Net-0.23
- Khris Middleton Offense-0.18 Defense-0.07 Net-0.25
- Tre Mann Offense-0.21 Defense-0.07 Net-0.28
- Alexandre Sarr Offense-0.36 Defense-0.10 Net-0.45
- Bilal Coulibaly Offense-0.57 Defense-0.17 Net-0.73
- Tre Johnson Offense-0.29 Defense-0.51 Net-0.80
- Kyshawn George Offense-0.65 Defense-0.18 Net-0.83
- Carlton Carrington Offense-0.47 Defense-0.61 Net-1.08
Washington Wizards Offense-0.43 Defense-2.04 Net-2.48
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| AJ Dybantsa | F | -0.4 | +0.8 | -1.2 | $11.1M | -0.4 | -1.9 | 29.9 | 97.7 | 27.3 | 3.9 | 46.8% | 32.6% | 77.8% |
| Alexandre Sarr | C | -1.4 | -1.1 | -0.3 | $3.6M | -0.3 | -2.7 | 17.7 | 99.8 | 23.5 | 4.1 | 46.7% | 33.3% | 71.9% |
| Anthony Davis | F-C | +1.8 | +0.4 | +1.4 | $35.3M | +1.6 | +1.7 | 32.3 | 98.4 | 32.0 | 3.9 | 50.8% | 31.7% | 76.2% |
| Anthony Gill | F | -1.9 | -1.6 | -0.3 | $0.7M | -1.8 | -2.0 | 6.3 | 99.0 | 15.5 | 3.0 | 55.1% | 31.6% | 69.5% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | G | -1.7 | -1.3 | -0.4 | $2.2M | +0.4 | -2.8 | 24.2 | 98.7 | 19.8 | 3.8 | 45.0% | 33.2% | 75.4% |
| Carlton Carrington | G | -3.4 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -$8.3M | -2.3 | -4.2 | 17.7 | 98.9 | 19.7 | 7.5 | 41.1% | 36.8% | 78.9% |
| Deandre Ayton | F-C | +0.7 | -0.5 | +1.2 | $12.1M | +1.7 | +0.4 | 15.1 | 97.1 | 18.5 | 2.6 | 64.9% | 22.4% | 66.1% |
| Felix Okpara | C | -3.4 | -3.0 | -0.4 | -$3.3M | -3.4 | -2.3 | 4.3 | 98.2 | 17.2 | 2.4 | 53.8% | 29.9% | 66.7% |
| Jamir Watkins | F | -0.1 | -0.6 | +0.5 | $8.5M | -0.1 | -0.1 | 18.2 | 99.4 | 18.4 | 3.3 | 43.7% | 33.1% | 72.4% |
| Justin Champagnie | G-F | +0.9 | +0.7 | +0.2 | $20.6M | +2.2 | -0.5 | 11.1 | 99.4 | 21.1 | 2.8 | 48.8% | 34.0% | 75.9% |
| Khris Middleton | F-G | -2.0 | -1.4 | -0.6 | $0.2M | -3.3 | -1.8 | 6.8 | 98.6 | 18.9 | 5.1 | 43.1% | 37.1% | 84.3% |
| Kyshawn George | F | -1.5 | -1.2 | -0.3 | $2.7M | -1.1 | -1.8 | 30.5 | 98.3 | 24.4 | 6.7 | 44.3% | 35.2% | 80.7% |
| Reece Beekman | G | -2.3 | -2.4 | +0.0 | -$1.2M | -2.3 | -2.8 | 5.0 | 98.1 | 12.3 | 7.4 | 41.9% | 32.4% | 76.9% |
| Trae Young | G | +1.5 | +3.3 | -1.8 | $34.4M | +1.4 | +1.5 | 33.5 | 98.7 | 27.1 | 13.5 | 41.7% | 35.1% | 85.4% |
| Tre Johnson | G | -2.8 | -1.0 | -1.8 | -$4.2M | -2.8 | -2.8 | 15.8 | 99.3 | 24.2 | 3.7 | 42.2% | 36.6% | 84.4% |
| Tre Mann | G | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -$0.8M | -1.3 | -3.6 | 6.1 | 98.4 | 22.0 | 7.2 | 40.7% | 35.5% | 82.1% |
| Tristan Vukcevic | F | +0.4 | +0.3 | +0.2 | $11.6M | +1.6 | -2.9 | 12.8 | 99.5 | 29.3 | 3.9 | 46.6% | 34.5% | 78.9% |
| Will Riley | F | -2.4 | -1.0 | -1.4 | -$0.7M | -1.7 | -4.0 | 2.4 | 99.3 | 23.4 | 4.6 | 44.5% | 33.9% | 81.3% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 28 | +1.5 | 6.0 | 88% |
| Anthony Davis | 33 | +1.8 | 2.9 | 52% |
| Kyshawn George | 22 | -1.5 | 6.3 | 86% |
| AJ Dybantsa | 19 | -0.4 | 9.5 | 98% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 22 | -1.7 | 5.6 | 81% |
| Jamir Watkins | 25 | -0.1 | 2.0 | 27% |
| Alexandre Sarr | 21 | -1.4 | 8.0 | 96% |
| Carlton Carrington | 21 | -3.4 | 7.0 | 86% |
| Tre Johnson | 20 | -2.8 | 6.0 | 85% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$196.9M of salary for $143.1M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Anthony Davis : salary $58.5M, DARKO value $35.3M, surplus -$23.2M
- Trae Young : salary $49.5M, DARKO value $34.4M, surplus -$15.1M
- AJ Dybantsa : salary $14.7M, DARKO value $11.1M, surplus -$3.6M
- Alexandre Sarr : salary $12.4M, DARKO value $3.6M, surplus -$8.8M
- Bilal Coulibaly : salary $9.2M, DARKO value $2.2M, surplus -$7.0M
- Tre Johnson : salary $8.6M, DARKO value -$4.2M, surplus -$12.8M
- Deandre Ayton : salary $8.1M, DARKO value $12.1M, surplus +$4.0M
- Tre Mann : salary $8.0M, DARKO value -$0.8M, surplus -$8.8M
- Khris Middleton : salary $5.6M, DARKO value $0.2M, surplus -$5.4M
- Carlton Carrington : salary $4.9M, DARKO value -$8.3M, surplus -$13.2M
- Will Riley : salary $3.7M, DARKO value -$0.7M, surplus -$4.4M
- Kyshawn George : salary $3.1M, DARKO value $2.7M, surplus -$0.4M