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Eastern Conference
Orlando Magic
Record 2-5Projected 43.0-39.0Playoffs 65.1%Win conference 5.5%Win Finals 2.1%Lottery 34.9%Expected pick 17.0SRS +2.58
DARKO rating · #15 of 30
+2.4 Offense +0.2 Defense +2.2
Worth about 42 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 2, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +4.01; the ones below take away 1.63.
- Franz Wagner Offense+1.24 Defense-0.08 Net+1.16
- Desmond Bane Offense+0.67 Defense0.00 Net+0.67
- Wendell Carter Jr. Offense-0.38 Defense+0.95 Net+0.58
- Jalen Suggs Offense-0.06 Defense+0.57 Net+0.51
- Paolo Banchero Offense+0.62 Defense-0.12 Net+0.50
- Anthony Black Offense-0.22 Defense+0.53 Net+0.31
- Jonathan Isaac Offense-0.27 Defense+0.43 Net+0.16
- Goga Bitadze Offense-0.05 Defense+0.18 Net+0.13
- Colin Castleton Offense-0.12 Defense+0.03 Net-0.09
- Tristan da Silva Offense-0.13 Defense+0.03 Net-0.11
- Noah Penda Offense-0.18 Defense+0.06 Net-0.12
- Jevon Carter Offense-0.10 Defense-0.02 Net-0.12
- Nikola Vucevic Offense-0.29 Defense+0.03 Net-0.27
- Jamal Cain Offense-0.22 Defense-0.08 Net-0.29
- Jase Richardson Offense-0.28 Defense-0.35 Net-0.63
Orlando Magic Offense+0.22 Defense+2.16 Net+2.38
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Alex Morales | G | -2.4 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -$3.0M | -2.4 | -1.5 | 3.0 | 97.2 | 14.3 | 4.3 | 42.6% | 32.4% | 71.4% |
| Anthony Black | G | +0.6 | -0.5 | +1.1 | $22.3M | +1.3 | +0.2 | 25.6 | 96.8 | 24.5 | 6.7 | 44.3% | 34.0% | 74.2% |
| Colin Castleton | C | -1.2 | -1.6 | +0.4 | $1.4M | -1.1 | -2.5 | 3.6 | 97.8 | 18.6 | 2.4 | 56.9% | 29.6% | 71.9% |
| Desmond Bane | G | +1.1 | +1.1 | -0.0 | $30.1M | +1.3 | +0.9 | 33.4 | 97.3 | 28.8 | 5.2 | 45.2% | 38.3% | 88.0% |
| Franz Wagner | F | +1.8 | +1.9 | -0.1 | $38.9M | +0.7 | +2.1 | 34.1 | 97.4 | 32.5 | 8.9 | 47.2% | 32.7% | 83.6% |
| Goga Bitadze | C | +1.0 | -0.4 | +1.4 | $10.6M | +1.2 | +0.6 | 6.7 | 97.3 | 18.5 | 3.8 | 63.4% | 24.0% | 68.1% |
| Izaiyah Nelson | F | -3.1 | -2.7 | -0.5 | -$2.7M | -3.1 | -2.1 | 1.6 | 98.4 | 17.8 | 2.6 | 46.8% | 31.4% | 69.6% |
| Jalen Suggs | G | +1.4 | -0.2 | +1.5 | $29.9M | -0.1 | +2.1 | 19.7 | 98.8 | 20.6 | 8.4 | 42.9% | 34.7% | 83.0% |
| Jamal Cain | F | -1.1 | -0.8 | -0.3 | $3.3M | -1.0 | -1.4 | 13.7 | 97.6 | 20.3 | 2.5 | 46.6% | 37.1% | 76.7% |
| Jase Richardson | G | -1.8 | -0.8 | -1.0 | $3.1M | -1.8 | -2.2 | 18.4 | 97.5 | 17.7 | 6.1 | 44.4% | 35.3% | 78.6% |
| Jevon Carter | G | -1.2 | -0.9 | -0.2 | $3.7M | -0.9 | -1.3 | 5.4 | 97.4 | 16.2 | 6.2 | 39.4% | 37.6% | 81.0% |
| Jonathan Isaac | F | +1.1 | -1.8 | +2.8 | $8.4M | +0.3 | +1.3 | 8.0 | 98.2 | 14.4 | 2.4 | 47.0% | 31.2% | 66.4% |
| Nikola Vucevic | C | -1.6 | -1.7 | +0.2 | $2.1M | +0.8 | -1.9 | 8.8 | 97.6 | 21.5 | 5.2 | 46.5% | 35.4% | 78.5% |
| Noah Penda | G-F | -0.8 | -1.2 | +0.4 | $3.8M | -0.6 | -1.9 | 7.8 | 98.4 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 42.7% | 33.5% | 72.7% |
| Paolo Banchero | F | +1.2 | +1.5 | -0.3 | $28.5M | -0.8 | +1.8 | 22.3 | 98.6 | 34.2 | 8.2 | 46.5% | 32.9% | 75.4% |
| Tristan da Silva | F | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.1 | $15.5M | -0.8 | +0.2 | 23.8 | 97.7 | 22.6 | 3.5 | 44.2% | 37.5% | 82.4% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | F | +1.0 | -0.6 | +1.6 | $31.0M | +0.0 | +1.3 | 30.7 | 97.5 | 18.8 | 3.2 | 52.5% | 33.4% | 76.7% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner | 25 | +1.8 | 8.8 | 98% |
| Desmond Bane | 28 | +1.1 | 6.3 | 96% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27 | +1.0 | 6.6 | 95% |
| Anthony Black | 22 | +0.6 | 7.6 | 93% |
| Tristan da Silva | 25 | -0.2 | 6.3 | 90% |
| Paolo Banchero | 23 | +1.2 | 10.3 | 99% |
| Jalen Suggs | 25 | +1.4 | 7.0 | 93% |
| Jase Richardson | 21 | -1.8 | 4.6 | 68% |
| Jamal Cain | 27 | -1.1 | 2.6 | 40% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$222.2M of salary for $232.6M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Franz Wagner : salary $41.8M, DARKO value $38.9M, surplus -$2.8M
- Paolo Banchero : salary $41.5M, DARKO value $28.5M, surplus -$13.0M
- Desmond Bane : salary $39.4M, DARKO value $30.1M, surplus -$9.3M
- Jalen Suggs : salary $32.4M, DARKO value $29.9M, surplus -$2.5M
- Wendell Carter Jr. : salary $18.1M, DARKO value $31.0M, surplus +$12.9M
- Jonathan Isaac : salary $10.4M, DARKO value $8.4M, surplus -$2.1M
- Anthony Black : salary $10.1M, DARKO value $22.3M, surplus +$12.2M
- Goga Bitadze : salary $7.6M, DARKO value $10.6M, surplus +$3.0M
- Tristan da Silva : salary $4.0M, DARKO value $15.5M, surplus +$11.5M
- Jase Richardson : salary $3.1M, DARKO value $3.1M, surplus $0.0M
- Jamal Cain : salary $2.6M, DARKO value $3.3M, surplus +$0.7M
- Jevon Carter : salary $2.4M, DARKO value $3.7M, surplus +$1.3M