Fred VanVleet Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -0.40; +2.42 before the first game, +2.02 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.37; Nov 20 vs IND · 35 min
Biggest drop: -0.21; Mar 31 vs LAL · 40 min
Typical change per game: 0.08; Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Derek Fisher 2005-06	31	+1.2	+1.6, +2.1, +1.7, +1.0, +0.9	85
Aaron McKie 2003-04	31	+1.0	+0.5, -1.5, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
Patrick Beverley 2019-20	32	+1.6	+1.7, +1.8, -0.8, -2.3, under 10 games	83
Charlie Ward 2001-02	31	+1.5	+1.5, -0.7, -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games	83
Metta World Peace 2011-12	32	+1.3	+1.7, +0.2, under 10 games, -0.6, -2.0	82
Jared Dudley 2016-17	31	+0.9	+1.0, +0.1, -1.8, -2.7, under 10 games	82
Greg Anthony 1999-00	32	+0.8	-0.3, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	80
Joe Ingles 2018-19	31	+1.3	+1.0, +1.5, +0.4, -0.5, -1.9	80
Eddie Jones 2003-04	32	+1.8	+2.4, +3.0, +0.8, -0.6, under 10 games	79
Shane Battier 2009-10	31	+1.1	+1.5, +0.6, +0.4, -0.7, under 10 games	79

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Fred's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Fred VanVleet's seasons, at the same age.

Immanuel Quickley TOR like his 2019-20 91
Ajay Mitchell OKC like his 2017-18 85
Miles McBride NYK like his 2018-19 84
Jamal Shead TOR like his 2017-18 80

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Fred VanVleet's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $13.1M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $25.0M; Actual
Surplus: -$11.9M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 1.2; Projected
Retires at: 33.6; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Fred VanVleet, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	HOU	32	0	—	+1.21	-0.06	+1.27	—
2024-25	HOU	31	60 +7	35.2	+2.02	+0.81	+1.21	77th of 616
2023-24	HOU	30	73	36.8	+2.65	+1.43	+1.22	59th of 697
2022-23	TOR	29	69	36.7	+3.14	+1.92	+1.22	49th of 774
2021-22	TOR	28	65 +4	37.9	+2.36	+1.30	+1.05	94th of 858
2020-21	TOR	27	52	36.5	+1.83	+0.95	+0.88	127th of 924
2019-20	TOR	26	54 +11	35.7	+1.29	+0.81	+0.48	184th of 1010
2018-19	TOR	25	64 +24	27.5	+0.71	+0.34	+0.37	228th of 1078
2017-18	TOR	24	76 +6	20.0	+1.39	+0.97	+0.42	141st of 1185
2016-17	TOR	23	37 +7	7.9	-1.43	-1.38	-0.04	649th of 1100

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 23.4 projected minutes and a pace of 93.5.

Fred VanVleet, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	20.3	9.2
Rebounds	5.5	2.5
Offensive	0.9	0.4
Defensive	4.7	2.1
Assists	6.7	3.1
Steals	2.0	0.9
Blocks	0.6	0.3
Turnovers	2.1	1.0
3-pt attempts	10.5	4.8
FG attempts	17.2	7.8
FT attempts	3.7	1.7
FG% · 3P% · FT%	36.4% · 33.6% · 82.6%