Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.2 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 72nd of 405 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Mike Dunleavy, 2013-14.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy 2013-14 | 33 | +1.0 | +0.7, -0.5, -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Eddie Jones 2004-05 | 33 | +1.8 | +2.5, +0.8, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Clifford Robinson 2000-01 | 34 | +1.1 | -0.4, -1.3, -1.6, -3.8, -3.6 | 86 |
| Metta World Peace 2012-13 | 33 | +1.5 | +0.2, under 10 games, -0.7, -1.8, under 10 games | 86 |
| David West 2013-14 | 33 | +1.6 | +0.7, +0.5, -1.2, -1.9, under 10 games | 86 |
| Brad Miller 2009-10 | 34 | +1.1 | -0.2, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Al Horford 2019-20 | 34 | +1.3 | -0.7, +1.6, +0.3, +1.0, +0.6 | 85 |
| Kyle Korver 2013-14 | 33 | +1.3 | +2.5, +1.8, -0.5, +0.5, -0.9 | 84 |
| Matt Barnes 2012-13 | 33 | +0.6 | 0.0, +0.7, -1.3, -1.9, under 10 games | 84 |
| Matt Bonner 2013-14 | 34 | +1.3 | -0.1, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Tobias's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Tobias Harris's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +1.1DPMDPM Offense +0.2 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:23.1points9.3rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A100.0
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:18.2points11.6rebounds7.0assistsP/R/A83.5
- +0.3DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:19.7points10.8rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A83.0
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense +0.3 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:30.4points10.9rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A82.2
- +1.8DPMDPM Offense +0.7 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:27.3points7.6rebounds5.9assistsP/R/A81.8
- +1.3DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:18.0points5.2rebounds6.4assistsP/R/A80.6
- -0.1DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:20.4points9.6rebounds4.1assistsP/R/A80.1
- +1.7DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense +1.3 Per 100 possessions:17.5points7.0rebounds2.4assistsP/R/A80.0
- +1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:18.7points7.8rebounds2.3assistsP/R/A79.4
- +0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:18.0points5.5rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A79.1
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Tobias Harris's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $29.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $14.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$15.8M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 5.7
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.3
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 36.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 33 | 63 +14 | 27.7 | +1.24 | +0.40 | +0.84 | 72nd of 405 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 32 | 73 +6 | 31.6 | +1.44 | +0.79 | +0.65 | 96th of 530 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 31 | 70 +6 | 33.8 | +1.46 | +1.27 | +0.19 | 117th of 616 |
| 2022-23 | PHI | 30 | 74 +11 | 32.9 | +1.46 | +1.15 | +0.31 | 130th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | PHI | 29 | 73 +12 | 34.8 | +1.10 | +0.76 | +0.34 | 187th of 774 |
| 2020-21 | PHI | 28 | 62 +12 | 32.5 | +2.28 | +1.71 | +0.57 | 106th of 858 |
| 2019-20 | PHI | 28 | 72 +4 | 34.3 | +0.81 | +0.92 | -0.11 | 241st of 858 |
| 2018-19 | PHI | 26 | 82 +12 | 34.7 | +0.20 | +0.76 | -0.56 | 370th of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | LAC | 25 | 80 | 33.3 | -0.14 | +0.72 | -0.86 | 409th of 1077 |
| 2016-17 | DET | 24 | 82 | 31.3 | -0.06 | +0.23 | -0.28 | 374th of 1185 |
| 2015-16 | DET | 23 | 76 +4 | 33.1 | +0.09 | +0.35 | -0.26 | 288th of 1100 |
| 2014-15 | ORL | 22 | 68 | 34.8 | -0.85 | +0.17 | -1.02 | 375th of 813 |
| 2013-14 | ORL | 21 | 61 | 30.3 | -1.28 | -0.36 | -0.92 | 298th of 571 |
| 2012-13 | ORL | 20 | 55 | 23.6 | -0.94 | -0.66 | -0.28 | 118th of 354 |
| 2011-12 | MIL | 19 | 42 | 11.4 | -0.36 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 14th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 28.3 projected minutes and a pace of 99.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.1 | 13.6 |
| Rebounds | 9.3 | 5.5 |
| Offensive | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Defensive | 7.6 | 4.5 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.2 | 3.6 |
| FG attempts | 18.9 | 11.1 |
| FT attempts | 4.5 | 2.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.7% · 35.9% · 83.8% | |









