Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F

Age 31 · 6'9" · 235 lb · USA

Pick #4, 2014 Draft · Rookie 2015 · 762 games · 69 playoff games

DPM · #25 of 523

+2.8

Offense +2.5 Defense +0.4 Market +2.6 · playoffs +2.0 Last played Nov 2, 2026

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Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Vince Carter 2007-08	31	+2.6	+2.1, +3.1, +0.9, +1.7, +2.1	86
Chris Bosh 2014-15	31	+2.2	+1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Eddie Jones 2002-03	31	+2.8	+1.5, +1.8, +2.6, +0.8, -0.5	84
Rashard Lewis 2009-10	30	+2.6	+0.9, -0.4, -2.7, -0.7, under 10 games	84
George Hill 2016-17	31	+2.8	+1.3, +1.7, +1.9, -0.8, +0.8	84
Joe Johnson 2012-13	31	+2.5	+2.2, +1.2, +0.8, -0.3, -2.4	83
Kemba Walker 2019-20	30	+3.3	+2.6, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	82
Gordon Hayward 2019-20	30	+2.3	+0.9, +0.4, -0.7, -2.1, under 10 games	81
Pau Gasol 2010-11	30	+2.8	+2.6, +2.0, +0.9, 0.0, +0.3	80
Toni Kukoc 1998-99	30	+2.2	+1.7, +1.3, +0.5, +1.9, +1.5	80

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Aaron's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Around the league

Top 10 comps today

Current players closest to Aaron Gordon's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.

1 Aaron Gordon DEN Self

+2.8DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:24.7points9.6rebounds4.5assistsP/R/A
100.0
2 Luka Garza BOS ↗

+2.3DPMDPM Offense +2.4 Defense 0.0 Per 100 possessions:28.5points12.2rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A
84.1
3 Bam Adebayo MIA ↗

+3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:28.5points13.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A
83.0
4 OG Anunoby NYK ↗

+3.0DPMDPM Offense +1.6 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:26.2points8.0rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A
82.3
5 Jaylen Brown PHI ↗

+2.4DPMDPM Offense +3.0 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:31.9points8.9rebounds6.3assistsP/R/A
81.0
6 De'Aaron Fox SAS ↗

+2.5DPMDPM Offense +2.0 Defense +0.5 Per 100 possessions:25.7points6.2rebounds9.7assistsP/R/A
79.2
7 Lauri Markkanen UTA ↗

+1.6DPMDPM Offense +1.9 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:31.9points9.2rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A
77.8
8 Derrick White BOS ↗

+1.9DPMDPM Offense +1.1 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:22.4points6.0rebounds7.3assistsP/R/A
77.5
9 Kyrie Irving DAL ↗

+2.5DPMDPM Offense +2.8 Defense -0.3 Per 100 possessions:33.5points6.1rebounds7.6assistsP/R/A
77.2
10 Michael Porter Jr. BKN ↗

+1.9DPMDPM Offense +2.5 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:32.9points10.2rebounds3.4assistsP/R/A
76.2

How these matches work

Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.

100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Aaron Gordon's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $43.6M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $33.7M; Actual
Surplus: +$9.9M; Value minus salary
WARP: 9.2; Wins above replacement
Seasons left: 4.0; Projected, within 15
Retires at: 35.6; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Aaron Gordon, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2026-27 so far	DEN	31	6	30.3	+2.92	+2.49	+0.42	—
2025-26	DEN	30	36 +3	27.9	+3.01	+2.57	+0.44	53rd of 697
2024-25	DEN	29	51 +14	28.4	+2.65	+2.25	+0.40	77th of 774
2023-24	DEN	28	73 +12	31.5	+2.52	+1.36	+1.17	94th of 858
2022-23	DEN	27	68 +20	30.2	+2.65	+1.60	+1.05	95th of 924
2021-22	DEN	26	75 +5	31.7	+0.65	+1.06	-0.40	281st of 1010
2020-21	DEN	25	50 +10	27.7	+0.50	+0.14	+0.36	277th of 1077
2019-20	ORL	24	62	32.5	+0.94	+0.24	+0.70	193rd of 1185
2018-19	ORL	23	78 +5	33.7	+1.27	+0.53	+0.74	130th of 1100
2017-18	ORL	22	58	32.9	+1.01	+1.10	-0.09	91st of 813
2016-17	ORL	21	80	28.7	+0.26	+0.85	-0.59	85th of 571
2015-16	ORL	20	78	23.9	+1.06	+0.60	+0.46	20th of 354
2014-15	ORL	19	47	17.0	-1.58	-0.98	-0.60	50th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 29.0 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.1.

Aaron Gordon, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	24.7	14.5
Rebounds	9.6	5.6
Offensive	2.7	1.6
Defensive	6.9	4.0
Assists	4.5	2.6
Steals	1.1	0.6
Blocks	0.5	0.3
Turnovers	2.4	1.4
3-pt attempts	8.0	4.7
FG attempts	17.7	10.4
FT attempts	6.4	3.8
FG% · 3P% · FT%	48.1% · 36.2% · 78.7%