Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.49
- +2.87 before the first game, +3.36 now
- Biggest boost
- +0.21
- Feb 4 vs DEN · 47 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.31
- Nov 12 vs ORL · 37 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+3.3 at age 29 in 2025-26 ranks 45th of 774 age-29 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Kyrie Irving, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving 2020-21 | 29 | +3.6 | +3.8, +3.7, +3.6, +2.5, under 10 games | 89 |
| Allen Iverson 2004-05 | 29 | +3.0 | +2.9, +1.1, +2.0, -0.6, -2.1 | 86 |
| Ray Allen 2004-05 | 29 | +3.1 | +3.5, +3.2, +1.2, +1.8, +0.9 | 82 |
| Vince Carter 2006-07 | 30 | +3.4 | +3.0, +2.1, +3.1, +0.7, +1.4 | 82 |
| Kemba Walker 2019-20 | 30 | +3.2 | +2.3, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Paul Pierce 2006-07 | 29 | +4.1 | +5.4, +4.1, +3.5, +4.2, +3.5 | 80 |
| CJ McCollum 2020-21 | 29 | +2.8 | +1.7, +0.4, +0.4, -0.2, +1.4 | 79 |
| Carmelo Anthony 2013-14 | 29 | +2.9 | +2.2, +2.1, +0.1, +0.1, -2.0 | 78 |
| Damian Lillard 2019-20 | 30 | +4.3 | +4.0, +4.3, +4.5, +2.6, +1.6 | 78 |
| Steve Nash 2002-03 | 29 | +2.1 | +1.2, +4.3, +5.0, +5.5, +5.7 | 77 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Brunson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $59.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $34.9M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$24.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 7.5
- Projected
- Retires at
- 37.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYK | 29 | 75 +15 | 35.1 | +3.32 | +4.35 | -1.04 | 45th of 774 |
| 2024-25 | NYK | 28 | 65 +18 | 35.4 | +2.98 | +4.36 | -1.39 | 66th of 858 |
| 2023-24 | NYK | 27 | 77 +13 | 35.4 | +3.62 | +4.57 | -0.95 | 43rd of 924 |
| 2022-23 | NYK | 26 | 68 +11 | 35.0 | +2.05 | +3.15 | -1.10 | 107th of 1010 |
| 2021-22 | DAL | 25 | 79 +18 | 31.9 | +1.25 | +1.89 | -0.63 | 159th of 1078 |
| 2020-21 | DAL | 24 | 68 +7 | 25.0 | +0.99 | +1.54 | -0.55 | 178th of 1185 |
| 2019-20 | DAL | 23 | 57 | 17.9 | -0.35 | +0.59 | -0.94 | 372nd of 1100 |
| 2018-19 | DAL | 22 | 73 | 21.8 | -0.98 | +0.27 | -1.25 | 399th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 37.8 projected minutes and a pace of 96.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 33.4 | 25.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Offensive | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| Assists | 8.1 | 6.1 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.8 | 6.6 |
| FG attempts | 27.6 | 20.8 |
| FT attempts | 8.1 | 6.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.2% · 35.4% · 82.8% | |
