Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +3.39
- -3.12 before the first game, +0.26 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.81
- Nov 7 vs UTA · 9 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.46
- Jan 20 vs UTA · 5 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.17
- Last 20 games, vs 0.26 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.3 at age 19 in 2025-26 ranks 9th of 109 age-19 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Andre Drummond, 2012-13.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond 2012-13 | 19 | +0.3 | +0.4, +0.3, +0.3, -0.6, 0.0 | 86 |
| Darius Miles 2000-01 | 19 | +0.7 | +1.8, -1.4, +0.1, +0.6, -0.6 | 85 |
| Josh Smith 2004-05 | 19 | -0.3 | -0.3, +0.2, +2.0, +2.1, +2.8 | 85 |
| Dwight Howard 2004-05 | 19 | -0.2 | +0.8, +0.7, +2.6, +3.4, +4.6 | 84 |
| Jarrett Allen 2017-18 | 19 | -0.7 | +0.2, +0.8, -0.5, +1.5, +2.2 | 83 |
| Andris Biedrins 2005-06 | 20 | 0.0 | +1.0, +1.7, +1.9, +0.5, -1.3 | 83 |
| Tyson Chandler 2001-02 | 19 | -0.3 | -1.2, -1.6, +1.0, +1.3, +1.2 | 82 |
| Chris Bosh 2003-04 | 20 | -0.4 | +0.1, +1.8, +2.9, +4.4, +2.9 | 82 |
| Isaiah Stewart 2020-21 | 19 | -0.5 | -2.2, -1.1, -0.8, -0.9, -1.4 | 81 |
| Tracy McGrady 1997-98 | 18 | +0.1 | +0.9, +0.9, +3.3, +4.3, +4.7 | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Joan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Joan Beringer's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $3.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 7.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIN | 19 | 40 +5 | 7.9 | +0.26 | -0.24 | +0.50 | 9th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 1.6 projected minutes and a pace of 99.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.7 | 0.7 |
| Rebounds | 14.5 | 0.5 |
| Offensive | 6.4 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 8.1 | 0.3 |
| Assists | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 4.4 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.5 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| FG attempts | 16.3 | 0.5 |
| FT attempts | 8.5 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 55.8% · 21.9% · 68.6% | |
